January 18, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Barista Vixen | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Boom Boom Girl | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Malibu Anthem | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Wicked Happy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Icanceeclearlynow | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Cherokee Song | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Miami Mumbles | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Dust Devil | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Time to Testify | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | First Line | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Dangerous Edge | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Colormepazzi | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 2 | Dr. Grunseich | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
7 | 5 | Streetcar Jones | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
5 | 3 | Magnificent Mags | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
6 | 4 | Doctor K | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
8 | 6 | Tapit’s Flashback | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
9 | 7 | Awesome Yet Again | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Our Lucky Man | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Impeach Him | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Madame Rose | 50.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 3 | Gypsy Janie | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
6 | 4 | Letmetakethiscall | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
7 | 5 | Timely Tradition | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Madam Meena | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
3 | 2 | Lady by Choice | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Gone Glimmering | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Maryanorginger | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10A | 10 | Successful Saint | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
4A | 4 | Playwright | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
2 | 2 | Scarf It Down | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
8 | 8 | Mills | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Frankie Barone | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
9 | 9 | Autostrade | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
11 | 11 | Orpheus (ARG) | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Hero’s Hope | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Hooray for Harvey | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Real Dan | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Coltandmississippi | 50.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Cost Basis | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
6 | 5 | Mi Tres Por Ciento (CHI) | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
9 | 8 | Secret Rules | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
8 | 7 | Chateau | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
7 | 6 | T Loves a Fight | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Fed Funds | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
4 | 3 | Promo Code | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
3 | 2 | Ajnadeen | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
2 | 2 | Big Engine | 5.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Interborough S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Portal Creek | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Saguaro Row | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Needs Supervision | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Call On Mischief | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Alisio | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Bella Aurora | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8A | 7 | Sophie Fatale | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
3A | 3 | Remoane | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
6 | 5 | Judiciary | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
9 | 8 | Hey It’s Tati | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
7 | 6 | Queentigua | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
4 | 4 | Menzamenz | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
10 | 9 | Big Red Girl | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
2 | 2 | Lovelee Honor | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
1 | 1 | Karla’s Dream | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
5 | 5 | Trick the Universe | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.