Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Monday, January 18, 2021

January 18, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Barista Vixen 1.40 1.9 4-1
4 4 Boom Boom Girl 3.00 2 4-1
5 5 Malibu Anthem 2.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Wicked Happy 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Icanceeclearlynow 15.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Cherokee Song 12.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Miami Mumbles 1.40 2 4-1
1 1 Dust Devil 2.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Time to Testify 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 First Line 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Dangerous Edge 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Colormepazzi 12.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Dr. Grunseich 8.00 2.1 4-1
7 5 Streetcar Jones 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 3 Magnificent Mags 5.00 2.5 5-1
6 4 Doctor K 0.80 2.6 5-1
8 6 Tapit’s Flashback 12.00 2.8 5-1
9 7 Awesome Yet Again 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Our Lucky Man 30.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Impeach Him 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Madame Rose 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Gypsy Janie 8.00 2.3 4-1
6 4 Letmetakethiscall 1.60 2.7 5-1
7 5 Timely Tradition 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Madam Meena 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 2 Lady by Choice 30.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Gone Glimmering 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Maryanorginger 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10A 10 Successful Saint 2.50 1 2-1
4A 4 Playwright 2.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Scarf It Down 4.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Mills 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Frankie Barone 10.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Autostrade 8.00 3 6-1
11 11 Orpheus (ARG) 10.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Hero’s Hope 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Hooray for Harvey 20.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Real Dan 12.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Coltandmississippi 50.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cost Basis 3.00 1.8 3-1
6 5 Mi Tres Por Ciento (CHI) 3.50 2.1 4-1
9 8 Secret Rules 4.50 2.7 5-1
8 7 Chateau 4.00 2.9 6-1
7 6 T Loves a Fight 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Fed Funds 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Promo Code 30.00 7.3 14-1
3 2 Ajnadeen 30.00 8 15-1
2 2 Big Engine 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Interborough S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Portal Creek 1.20 1.6 3-1
2 2 Saguaro Row 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Needs Supervision 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 Call On Mischief 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Alisio 4.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Bella Aurora 20.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8A 7 Sophie Fatale 2.50 1.2 2-1
3A 3 Remoane 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 5 Judiciary 3.00 1.9 4-1
9 8 Hey It’s Tati 1.80 2.7 5-1
7 6 Queentigua 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Menzamenz 12.00 4.1 8-1
10 9 Big Red Girl 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Lovelee Honor 30.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Karla’s Dream 30.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Trick the Universe 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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