Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 17, 2021

January 17, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Vronsky Zips Away 4.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Rockie Causeway 2.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Ray Ray Is Gone 15.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Elgofranco 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Summer Rose 6.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 Spanish Channel 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Bella D 4.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Verry Bossy 15.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Badger Gal 15.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Little Miss Belle 30.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Fierce Kitty 30.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Rays Darlinkle 50.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Majestic Diva 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Destiny’s Journey 2.00 3 6-1
2 2 Lulumaru 2.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 All Tea All Shade 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 Girona 5.00 5.3 10-1
7 5 Miss You Mom 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Senoradiablo 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Avalon Ride 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rager 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Dark Prince 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Bench Judge 2.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Gate Speed 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Juggles 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Best Chance 5.00 4 8-1
4 4 Invictatatus 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Ed Gatty 30.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kennebec 0.60 2.1 4-1
8 8 Short Rib 4.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Runaway Kristin 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Paisano 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Broken Finger 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Fleet Roy 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Royal Orb 15.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Hard Metal 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Big Clare 3.00 1.3 2-1
9 8 Delta Wind 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 5 Big Beauty 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Our Little Tiger 5.00 3 6-1
8 7 Disko Fever 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Sunshine Babe 20.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Here Comes Ralphie 15.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Military Princess 20.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Annie Graham 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Hung Jury 2.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Gates of Heaven 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Uncle Boogie 1.80 3.5 7-1
4 4 Cojo 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Western Rule 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Wedding Groom 12.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Love My Jimmy 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Astra S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Quick (GB) 2.50 2.5 5-1
9 9 Ms Peintour 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Aunt Lubie 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Hermaphrodite (FR) 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Altea (FR) 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Miss Addie Pray 15.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Avenue de France (FR) 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Lucky Peridot 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Carpe Vinum 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 As Time Goes By 1.60 2.3 4-1
4 4 This Tea 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Miss Megan 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Paid Informant 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Paige Runner 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Matera 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Croi Mor 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Commanding Chief 2.50 3.8 7-1
9 9 Fire Polish 5.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Direct Line 6.00 5 9-1
6 6 Leme At Em 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Mongolian Kingdom 6.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Witch’s Vow 12.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 My Indy 8.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Afleeting Life 30.00 7.6 14-1
12 12 Silent Musketier 20.00 9.8 18-1
4 4 Malibu Dreamin 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Infatuate 30.00 10.6 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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