January 17, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Lil’ Sister Lou | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | D’wild Baroness | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Brooklyn Baby | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
6 | 5 | Goodnight Gracie | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
8 | 7 | Blondie Lox Babe | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Lagniappe | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
7 | 6 | Flat Scat | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
5 | 5 | That’s a Song | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Strollin the Bayou | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
7 | 7 | Zabava | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Apple Dapple | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | N. D. Free | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
5 | 5 | Cubs Win | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | North of Eden | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
4 | 4 | Hero of Gold | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
8 | 8 | Limage | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | On Your Mark | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Chicken Hawk | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Smart Call | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Gallant Plunger | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Uncapped | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Intimidation | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Money Cometh | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Carson’s Princess | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Unwanted Input | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Hohohoho | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Masked Mandate | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Kattegat | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | Flatteringapplause | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Danger Zone | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
9 | 9 | Danza Lauren | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Tizindy Queen | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 4 | Whiskey Double | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
6 | 5 | O Besos | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
3 | 2 | Tate | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
1A | 6 | Outlier | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
2 | 1 | O Dogg | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
4 | 3 | Crime Spree | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
1 | 3 | Assumption | 4.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 6 | Comedian | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | New Eagle | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
6 | 5 | Deviant | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
9 | 8 | Copper Fiddle | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Mom Said Yes | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
5 | 4 | Holy Spirit | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
8 | 7 | Bucky | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
10 | 9 | Mayor Cobb | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
1 | 1 | Good Intent | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
4 | 4 | Data Load | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Fredonian | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Enforceable | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Plus Que Parfait | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
4 | 4 | Spa City | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Dune of Pilat (FR) | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
6 | 5 | Leader of Men | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
5 | 5 | Zanesville | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Ms Satch Mo | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Taptime | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
7 | 7 | Perks d’Oro | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
6 | 6 | Taylor’s Wish | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
8 | 8 | Breonna | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
5 | 5 | Peace Nicker | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Miss Unionist | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Fancy Gi Gi | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
9 | 9 | Point of Infinity | 1.80 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Speak to Me | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Steal the Stars | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Spellbinding | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | American Rebel | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | Our Mardi Gras | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Birdcatmouse | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Gerrie Lou | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Halo’s Song | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.