January 16, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shady Empire | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jetovator | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Brace for Impact | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Desmond Doss | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | I Will Not | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Diablo Rojo | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rinse and Repeat | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Policy | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Afternoon Heat | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Agamemnon | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Asaro | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mamba Cool | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Burnin Turf | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Club | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fly Buddy Fly | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tallemark | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Big Billy | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Crankin | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Your Jets | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | My Man Bags | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Teton Valley | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mister Bold | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Swift as I Am | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Shimmer Me Timbers | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Hot Box | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pappy Boyington | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rocktillyoudrop | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Poso Creek | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Sunshine Millions Filly And Mare Turf Sprint S. Presented By John Deere
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mo See Cal | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Devoted | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warren’s Showtime | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nardini | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leggs Galore | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hollywood Hills | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Homehome | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sheza Girly Girl | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Florentine Diamond | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Allergic to Logic | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Complete Control | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Switch Around | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Medusa’s Gaze | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Later Days | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Great Curves | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winter Star | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dontmesswithtess | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Grazen Road | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bandeena | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Haynespun | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pink Phlox | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Jeanne B | 30.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Leigh Ann Howard California Cup Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sensible Cat | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Closing Remarks | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dylans Wild Cat | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m So Anna | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Westward Breeze | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Governor Goteven | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warrens Candy Girl | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Del Mar Flash | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Game | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smoothlikebuttah | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – California Cup Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Warrens Candy Man | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Big Fish | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mischievous Path | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Play Chicken | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Good With People | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Positivity | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | None Above the Law | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cozy Bear | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Chosen Vron | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Unusual Heat Turf Classic S. Presented By City National Bank
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ward ‘n Jerry | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brandothebartender | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indian Peak | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Margot’s Boy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | North County Guy | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Acclimate | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marckie’s Water | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cono | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heck Yeah | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tropical Terror | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fly to Mars | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Don Valpredo California Cup Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Loud Mouth | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jamming Eddy | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tigre Di Slugo | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fashionably Fast | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Trump | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Oliver | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Psycho Dar | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Club Aspen | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rookie Mistake | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brickyard Ride | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bettor Trip Nick | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Annietown | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Omg It’s Jessica | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Squared Shady | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Another Eddie | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pistachio Princess | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Curious Inji | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Baylee | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Race Judicata | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sugar Kisses | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warrior Lady | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Love the Dance | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Big Clare | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Our Little Tiger | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Galarina | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.