Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 16, 2021

January 16, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shady Empire 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Jetovator 3.00 2.5 5-1
11 11 Brace for Impact 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Desmond Doss 8.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 I Will Not 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 El Diablo Rojo 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Rinse and Repeat 10.00 6 11-1
9 9 Policy 12.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Afternoon Heat 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Agamemnon 8.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Asaro 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mamba Cool 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 3 Burnin Turf 2.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Secret Club 2.50 3.2 6-1
6 5 Fly Buddy Fly 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Tallemark 20.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Big Billy 20.00 5.9 11-1
5 4 Crankin 15.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Cool Your Jets 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 My Man Bags 8.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Teton Valley 8.00 2.4 5-1
3 2 Mister Bold 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 3 Swift as I Am 3.00 2.7 5-1
8 6 Shimmer Me Timbers 6.00 2.9 5-1
9 7 Hot Box 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Pappy Boyington 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Rocktillyoudrop 6.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Poso Creek 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Sunshine Millions Filly And Mare Turf Sprint S. Presented By John Deere

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mo See Cal 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 She’s Devoted 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Warren’s Showtime 2.50 2.8 5-1
9 9 Nardini 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Leggs Galore 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Hollywood Hills 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Homehome 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Sheza Girly Girl 20.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Florentine Diamond 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Allergic to Logic 5.00 2 4-1
5 5 Complete Control 2.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Switch Around 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Medusa’s Gaze 4.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Later Days 10.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Great Curves 12.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Winter Star 6.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Dontmesswithtess 20.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Grazen Road 30.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Bandeena 12.00 7.9 15-1
12 12 Haynespun 30.00 11 21-1
10 10 Pink Phlox 30.00 11.6 22-1
13 13 Jeanne B 30.00 12.4 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Leigh Ann Howard California Cup Oaks

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sensible Cat 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Closing Remarks 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Dylans Wild Cat 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 I’m So Anna 6.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Westward Breeze 8.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Governor Goteven 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Warrens Candy Girl 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Del Mar Flash 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Super Game 20.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Smoothlikebuttah 30.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – California Cup Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Warrens Candy Man 10.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 Big Fish 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 1 Mischievous Path 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Play Chicken 4.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Good With People 3.50 4.4 8-1
7 6 Positivity 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 None Above the Law 15.00 6.2 12-1
9 8 Cozy Bear 50.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 The Chosen Vron 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Unusual Heat Turf Classic S. Presented By City National Bank

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ward ‘n Jerry 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Brandothebartender 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Indian Peak 8.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Margot’s Boy 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 North County Guy 5.00 4 7-1
8 8 Acclimate 2.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Marckie’s Water 15.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Cono 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Heck Yeah 12.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Tropical Terror 30.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Fly to Mars 15.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Don Valpredo California Cup Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Loud Mouth 3.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Jamming Eddy 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Tigre Di Slugo 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Fashionably Fast 2.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Royal Trump 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Oliver 20.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Psycho Dar 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Club Aspen 20.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Rookie Mistake 15.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Brickyard Ride 6.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Bettor Trip Nick 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Annietown 4.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Omg It’s Jessica 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Squared Shady 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Another Eddie 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Pistachio Princess 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Curious Inji 10.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Miss Baylee 5.00 6 11-1
8 8 Race Judicata 20.00 6 11-1
12 12 Sugar Kisses 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Warrior Lady 30.00 9.8 18-1
9 9 Love the Dance 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Big Clare 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Our Little Tiger 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Galarina 20.00 10.4 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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