Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 16, 2021

January 16, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 American Piper 10.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 War Light 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Super Houdini 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Johng 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Galilean Moon 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Ratify 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Owesaycanyousee 20.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Floating By 15.00 3 6-1
8 8 Boom Boom Gone 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Our Star 8.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Wowwhatabrat 1.40 7.6 14-1
6 6 Misdriven 3.50 7.7 14-1
1 1 Calypso Ghost 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Tuxedo Lemon 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Geisha S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kiss the Girl 4.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Artful Splatter 5.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 She’smysunshine 20.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Gale 1.20 1.5 3-1
3 3 S W Briar Rose 5.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Coconut Cake 3.50 1.8 3-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Fire Plug S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Karan’s Notion 8.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Lebda 8.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Arthur’s Hope 20.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Penguin Power 6.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Laki 2.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Wendell Fong 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Share the Ride 1.80 2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Jennings S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Galerio 6.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Hall Pass 8.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Oxide 10.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Tattooed 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 My Friends Beer 15.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Cordmaker 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Hanalei’s Houdini 15.00 2 4-1
6 6 Air Token 5.00 2 4-1
7 7 Alwaysmining 4.50 2.1 4-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – What A Summer S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hello Beautiful 1.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Bridlewood Cat 12.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 New York Groove 20.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Escapade 5.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Tarawa 20.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Malibu Mischief 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Cause I’m Edgy 20.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Club Car 4.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Bella Aurora 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Xtra Heat S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Trip to Freedom 8.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 It Can 15.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Street Lute 1.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Whiskey and Rye 6.00 2 4-1
8 8 Breeze Off the Bay 15.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Miss Leslie 3.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Incomparable 20.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Plane Drunk 12.00 2.7 5-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Spectacular Bid S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Maythehorsebwithu 3.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Shackqueenking 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Kenny Had a Notion 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Nobody Knew 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Scotch Rock’s 15.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Wicked Prankster 20.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Tiz Mandate 12.00 2 4-1
9 9 Erawan 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Golden Gulley 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Alpha Queue 4.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 So Dialed In 2.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Garban 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Natty Beau 4.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Silver Sun 10.00 2 4-1
5 5 Jack Gave Back 10.00 2 4-1
6 6 Kentucky Cool 6.00 2.1 4-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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