Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 16, 2021

January 16, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Bellamy Cay 8.00 3 6-1
2 1 Play Unified 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 New Year’s Party 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Mia O Maya 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Strong Beauty 5.00 3.9 7-1
10 9 Jet Sweep 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 2 Yes Gorgeous 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Fancy Mallory 15.00 5.5 10-1
11 10 Afleet Moon 3.50 5.7 11-1
9 8 Flashyboy’s Lilsis 30.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Have No Fear 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Li’l Tootsie 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Arbitrary 6.00 3.4 7-1
9 9 Sister Luck 4.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 Dame Cinco 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Euphoric 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Leilana 6.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Suki 10.00 4.9 9-1
11 10 Latte Dolce 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Ryan’s Rocket 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Closet Shopper 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Shockingly 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Duncan F. Kenner S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Archidust 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 6 Manny Wah 5.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Just Might 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Fast Boat 4.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Readyforprimetime 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Born Great 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Real Money 10.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Went West 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Ottothelegend 4.00 1.8 3-1
8 7 Warrant 4.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Run Classic 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Blameworthy 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Supercool 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Own the Town 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Constituency 12.00 6.5 12-1
10 9 Gunner Paul 20.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Goldenite 20.00 8.7 16-1
11 10 Rockdale 20.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Remember Hymn 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Win Won Dobbs 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Koolhaus 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Mount Athos 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Regal Run 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lijana 4.00 2.2 4-1
14 14 Hana Road 6.00 2.6 5-1
13 13 Walk Me Home 8.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Love in the Air 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Go Big Green 6.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Office Party 10.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Let’s Skedaddle 6.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Transient (GB) 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Sneaky 15.00 6 11-1
10 10 Strike of Honor 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Cindylouwho 20.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Pink Channel 20.00 7 13-1
3 3 Laugh It Off 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Reminiscent 30.00 9.5 18-1
15 15 Dramatizer 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Beyond Heavenly 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dolder Grand 4.50 2.5 5-1
11 11 Cool Rags 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Scarlet Fusion 5.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Masqueparade 6.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Big Lake 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Gun Lap 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Afwan 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Cash Rocket 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Hope and Dignity 12.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Military Bearing 20.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 Big Power Red 30.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Happy American 30.00 8.7 17-1
13 13 Mean Machine 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Sharp Rocket 10.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Freddy Flintshire 6.00 2.5 5-1
11 10 Fulsome 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 5 Hot Stove League 12.00 3.2 6-1
14 13 Panenka 15.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Hidden Enemy (IRE) 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Kobla Mas 6.00 3.7 7-1
10 9 Story of the Night 15.00 3.9 7-1
12 11 Weather Prayer 15.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Soul Coaxing 20.00 4.5 9-1
5 4 Committed 12.00 4.5 9-1
15 14 Poirier 12.00 5.5 10-1
13 12 Loring Park 30.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Global Empire 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Cody’s Legacy 8.00 SCRATCH
7 6 K Rules 50.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Angkor 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Manor House 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Gagetown 3.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Beep Beep 8.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 Rightandjust 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Stayin’ Out Late 4.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 A C Expressway 12.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Ghostlighter 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Good First 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Cousin Larry 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Marie G. Krantz Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Jeanie B (GB) 8.00 2.4 5-1
7 6 Curlin’s Journey 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Dalika (GER) 2.00 3.5 7-1
3 2 Secret Message 2.50 3.6 7-1
8 7 Room to Finish 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 8 Kuora (PER) 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Xanthique 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Loving Moment 30.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Joy Epifora (ARG) 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Louisiana S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Blackberry Wine 4.50 1.7 3-1
9 7 Sonneman 4.00 2.2 4-1
8 6 Wells Bayou 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Silver Prospector 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Captivating Moon 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Title Ready 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Grand Luwegee 20.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Indimaaj 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 My Boy Jack 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Colonel E. R. Bradley S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Spectacular Gem 3.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Logical Myth 4.50 2.9 5-1
4 3 Big Agenda 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Split the Wickets 8.00 4 8-1
10 9 Sailing Solo 4.50 4 8-1
5 4 Maraud 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Vettori Kin (BRZ) 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 My Boy Jack 20.00 7.5 14-1
9 8 Peace Achieved 20.00 8 15-1
3 3 Captivating Moon 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mr. Misunderstood 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Silverbulletday S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Souper Sensational 2.50 2 4-1
9 6 Sun Path 2.00 2.5 5-1
8 5 Littlestitious 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Charlie’s Penny 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 4 Barista 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Moon Swag 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Minute Waltz 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Princess Theorem 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Divine Comedy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Lecomte S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Midnight Bourbon 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 3 Proxy 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Arabian Prince 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Santa Cruiser 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Regular Guy 10.00 3.6 7-1
10 8 Mandaloun 3.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Game Day Play 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 7 Red N Wild 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Beep Beep 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Manor House 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Dyn O Mite 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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