January 16, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 3 | Bellamy Cay | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
2 | 1 | Play Unified | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
6 | 5 | New Year’s Party | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
8 | 7 | Mia O Maya | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Strong Beauty | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
10 | 9 | Jet Sweep | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
3 | 2 | Yes Gorgeous | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | Fancy Mallory | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
11 | 10 | Afleet Moon | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
9 | 8 | Flashyboy’s Lilsis | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
1 | 1 | Have No Fear | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Li’l Tootsie | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
3 | 3 | Arbitrary | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
9 | 9 | Sister Luck | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
8 | 8 | Dame Cinco | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Euphoric | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
6 | 6 | Leilana | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | Suki | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
11 | 10 | Latte Dolce | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
1 | 1 | Ryan’s Rocket | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
4 | 4 | Closet Shopper | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
10 | 10 | Shockingly | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Duncan F. Kenner S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 7 | Archidust | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
7 | 6 | Manny Wah | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Just Might | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Fast Boat | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
4 | 4 | Readyforprimetime | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Born Great | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Real Money | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
6 | 6 | Went West | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 6 | Ottothelegend | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
8 | 7 | Warrant | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Run Classic | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
6 | 5 | Blameworthy | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Supercool | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
9 | 8 | Own the Town | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Constituency | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
10 | 9 | Gunner Paul | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
4 | 4 | Goldenite | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
11 | 10 | Rockdale | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
5 | 5 | Remember Hymn | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Win Won Dobbs | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Koolhaus | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Mount Athos | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
15 | 15 | Regal Run | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Lijana | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
14 | 14 | Hana Road | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
13 | 13 | Walk Me Home | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Love in the Air | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
6 | 6 | Go Big Green | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
11 | 11 | Office Party | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
7 | 7 | Let’s Skedaddle | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
9 | 9 | Transient (GB) | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
4 | 4 | Sneaky | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
10 | 10 | Strike of Honor | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
5 | 5 | Cindylouwho | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
12 | 12 | Pink Channel | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
3 | 3 | Laugh It Off | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
8 | 8 | Reminiscent | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
15 | 15 | Dramatizer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
16 | 16 | Beyond Heavenly | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Dolder Grand | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
11 | 11 | Cool Rags | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Scarlet Fusion | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
7 | 7 | Masqueparade | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
10 | 10 | Big Lake | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
5 | 5 | Gun Lap | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Afwan | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
6 | 6 | Cash Rocket | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Hope and Dignity | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
9 | 9 | Military Bearing | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
12 | 12 | Big Power Red | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
8 | 8 | Happy American | 30.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
13 | 13 | Mean Machine | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 8 | Sharp Rocket | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
8 | 7 | Freddy Flintshire | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
11 | 10 | Fulsome | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
6 | 5 | Hot Stove League | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
14 | 13 | Panenka | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Hidden Enemy (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Kobla Mas | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
10 | 9 | Story of the Night | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
12 | 11 | Weather Prayer | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Soul Coaxing | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
5 | 4 | Committed | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
15 | 14 | Poirier | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
13 | 12 | Loring Park | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
4 | 4 | Global Empire | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
16 | 16 | Cody’s Legacy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 6 | K Rules | 50.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Angkor | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Manor House | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Gagetown | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Beep Beep | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Rightandjust | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
9 | 9 | Stayin’ Out Late | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | A C Expressway | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
10 | 10 | Ghostlighter | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
8 | 8 | Good First | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
4 | 4 | Cousin Larry | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Marie G. Krantz Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 1 | Jeanie B (GB) | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
7 | 6 | Curlin’s Journey | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Dalika (GER) | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
3 | 2 | Secret Message | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
8 | 7 | Room to Finish | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
9 | 8 | Kuora (PER) | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
4 | 3 | Xanthique | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
6 | 5 | Loving Moment | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
1 | 1 | Joy Epifora (ARG) | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Louisiana S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Blackberry Wine | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
9 | 7 | Sonneman | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
8 | 6 | Wells Bayou | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
3 | 3 | Silver Prospector | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Captivating Moon | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
6 | 5 | Title Ready | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Grand Luwegee | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
5 | 5 | Indimaaj | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | My Boy Jack | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Colonel E. R. Bradley S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 7 | Spectacular Gem | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Logical Myth | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
4 | 3 | Big Agenda | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
7 | 6 | Split the Wickets | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
10 | 9 | Sailing Solo | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
5 | 4 | Maraud | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
6 | 5 | Vettori Kin (BRZ) | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
2 | 2 | My Boy Jack | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
9 | 8 | Peace Achieved | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
3 | 3 | Captivating Moon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Mr. Misunderstood | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Silverbulletday S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Souper Sensational | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
9 | 6 | Sun Path | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
8 | 5 | Littlestitious | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Charlie’s Penny | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
7 | 4 | Barista | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Moon Swag | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
4 | 4 | Minute Waltz | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Princess Theorem | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Divine Comedy | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Lecomte S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Midnight Bourbon | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
4 | 3 | Proxy | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Arabian Prince | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
7 | 6 | Santa Cruiser | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Regular Guy | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
10 | 8 | Mandaloun | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
6 | 5 | Game Day Play | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
8 | 7 | Red N Wild | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
3 | 3 | Beep Beep | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Manor House | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Dyn O Mite | 30.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.