Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 15, 2021

January 15, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Amiko Chow (IRE) 3.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Acoustic Shadow 1.80 2 4-1
4 4 Olive You More 5.00 2 4-1
6 6 Lookin So Lucky 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Let’s Go Now 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Unbreakable 5.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Nicole Grace 30.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Alvaaro 2.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Signofthecross 3.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Stackin Silver 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Polar Wind 4.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Causeididitmyway 2.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Sky Confidential 15.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Fat Stacks 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 3 Luvluv 4.00 2.7 5-1
10 9 Lil Richards Bello 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Beaudacious 4.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Squared Straight 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Zero Down 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 5 Bang for Your Buck 15.00 7.5 14-1
11 10 Arrivederci Roma 30.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Fly Buddy Fly 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Peedie 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Crankin 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mr. Clutch 50.00 11.9 23-1
8 7 August Indy 50.00 11.9 23-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Concert Tour 1.40 1.1 2-1
6 5 Mr. Impossible 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 4 Hozier 1.20 1.5 3-1
3 2 Sensemaker 12.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Tarvi 15.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Space Odessey 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mischiffie (IRE) 1.60 1.8 3-1
3 3 Posit 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Sapphire Kid 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Savvy Gal 3.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Devils Dance 4.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Naansense 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Our Bonnie Lass 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Keep Dancing 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Gotta Be Lucky 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Moreavino 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Blazinonbayou 5.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Keep It Classy 5.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sombeyay 1.80 2.1 4-1
2 2 Tiz Plus 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Ohio (BRZ) 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 The Black Album (FR) 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Musawaat (GB) 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Manhattan Up 10.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gryffindor 6.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Blame It On Kitty 5.00 3.2 6-1
12 12 Shane Zain 3.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Rideo 6.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Six Point Rack 6.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Will Dancer 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Maxinamillion 6.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Vodka Twist 15.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 R Cha Cha 12.00 9.1 17-1
4 4 Ocean Fury 15.00 9.5 18-1
8 8 Bitter Ring Home 20.00 10 19-1
10 10 Debt Monger 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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