Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 14, 2021

January 14, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Competent 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 2 Anonymous Source 8.00 3.4 6-1
9 5 Goodbye Gaby 1.80 3.4 6-1
2 1 First Investor 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 4 Mudslide Wicked 6.00 4.3 8-1
10 6 Blessing Memories 30.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Shoug 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Suspicious Minds 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Imhavinaverygooday 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 May I 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Divine Martha 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Freezer Burn 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Caffeine Rush 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Awesome Annmarie 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 A d’Oro 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Carismatica 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Trade Deal 2.00 1.6 3-1
6 4 Scarlett Sky 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Take Profit 4.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Advance Cash 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Sir Roberto 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Kitten’s Firstlove 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Monte Ne 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Smoke Alarm 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Putman 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 4 Bernin’ Thru Gold 10.00 5.6 11-1
8 5 Khozy My Boy 12.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Lady Boss 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Crack Shot 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Scotty Brown 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Elliereeseaston 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 4 R Tenderoni 3.50 2 4-1
6 5 Flying Black 8.00 2.6 5-1
10 9 Kate’s Kingdom 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 I’m a Coco Pebbles 4.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 British Edge 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Talk Dirty 30.00 7.1 13-1
8 7 Trashthetrailer 30.00 7.3 14-1
9 8 Holy Secret 30.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Gaga Oh La La 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 5 Puttheglassdown 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 1 Apache Brave 2.50 3 6-1
5 2 Hero Tiger 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 3 Guaco 12.00 4.7 9-1
9 4 Fielder 20.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Mar Vista Miguel 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Tale of Kantharos 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Gran Malbec 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Colonel Tom 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Discretionary Marq 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dizzy 4.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Miss Peppina 2.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Tiz Enough 5.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Time to Two Step 6.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Don’t Get Khozy 1.40 3.1 6-1
1 1 Nacho Mama 20.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Krsto Skye 2.00 2.4 4-1
2 1 Infinite 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Fully Loaded 4.00 3.4 7-1
6 5 Tropicat 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Malraux 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 3 New York’s Finest 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Sovereign Warrior 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Miles Ahead 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Fair Catch 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Enjoyitwhilewecan 3.50 2 4-1
6 5 Whatdoesasharksay 2.50 2.1 4-1
8 7 Crystalle 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 Caira 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 She Throws Heat 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Woodfin 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Lady Panda 15.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Perspire 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sense a Million 3.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Dienda 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Domineer 4.00 3.2 6-1
9 8 Reggae Revolution 5.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Kimura 10.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Sammy’s Town 12.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Royal Jewel 12.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Trevess 12.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Hy Dollface 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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