Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 14, 2021

January 14, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Get Directions 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 5 Money Inthe Starrs 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 6 Cry Like a Baby 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 C’Estbon C’Estbon 3.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Ella’s Lil Star 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Irish Priority 12.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Affairs Unlimited 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Changi 10.00 5.7 11-1
9 5 Unrestricted 6.00 6 11-1
7 4 Pound for Pound 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Mageez 12.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Underpressure 10.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Budro Talking 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Ninety One Assault 1.60 SCRATCH
6 6 In the Navy 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Afleet Ascent 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Koo Baby 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Open Tab 4.50 2 4-1
5 5 Mollys Flyin High 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 G’s Mine 4.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Stingray Slayer 5.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Connie Baby 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 Wild Charlie 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Magic Coy 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Froideur 20.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Ready for Change 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 2 It’s My Tune 8.00 3 6-1
4 3 Tappin Into Summer 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 Pink Posse 12.00 4.6 9-1
10 7 G Kate 15.00 6.3 12-1
7 5 Dynamite Gift 15.00 6.6 12-1
9 6 Media Mendacity 20.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Caroline’s Story 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Ghosting Kim 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Shiningdownondalis 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Jim’s Bronze Star 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Discreet Tiger 4.50 1.9 4-1
2 1 Elusive d’Oro 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 3 Runchiefrun 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 Yes He Can 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Steadytillready 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Red Hot Devil 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Omega Moon 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 6 Majestic West 3.50 3.2 6-1
8 4 Olliemyboy 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 2 Talkin Malice 12.00 4.9 9-1
9 5 Victory Boulevard 5.00 5.1 10-1
5 1 Maroon Maniac 10.00 5.9 11-1
7 3 Whatdatpay Ray 15.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Half Ours to Keep 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Takafumi (BRZ) 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Attorney Tim 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Toma Todo 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 1 Shades of Truth 3.00 SCRATCH
8 5 Delta Traveler 4.00 2.9 5-1
12 9 Thetruthisthetruth 5.00 3.4 7-1
13 10 Hotmolly 6.00 3.8 7-1
11 8 Elsie Girl 10.00 4 8-1
4 1 Katie’s Cruise 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 2 Resposado 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 3 Speedy Dudette 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 4 Sho Nuff 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 1 Shooting Stick 20.00 SCRATCH
10 7 Miss Kennedy 20.00 8 15-1
9 6 Ruby Begonia 20.00 8.2 16-1
1 1 Platinum Sky 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 6 Unitedandresolute 2.50 2.3 4-1
13 9 City Mischief 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 2 Koufax 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 3 Revelator 10.00 6.4 12-1
11 8 Clarestown 10.00 6.7 13-1
9 5 Copa 12.00 7.6 14-1
1 7 Altmeister 12.00 7.9 15-1
3 1 Leroy Jenkins 12.00 8.6 16-1
1A 14 Weather Prayer 12.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Temple City Blvd 12.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Prairie 4.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Blushinstreetdevil 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Aimingforthestars 12.00 SCRATCH
14 15 Remember Hymn 12.00 SCRATCH
8 4 Cees Get Degrees 15.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gem of Carlos 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 King’s Prayer 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 First Metal Count 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Available Star 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Too Much Bourbon 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Grand Little Man 10.00 5 10-1
8 7 Halfourretirement 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 6 Doug’s Bug 15.00 6.3 12-1
10 9 Pray Ide Sing 10.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Diamond Palace 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Wednesday Parx Racing
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