January 10, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hero of the Hour | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | V Man | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ice Crush | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | M V P Mookie | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Party | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Humphrey | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Distinct Quality | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Treys Midnite Moon | 1.20 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Original Intent | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Run Tappy | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fleetway | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Erasmo’s Dream | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Meseta Diablo | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Antarctic | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cadet Captain | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 6 | Staceys Racey | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Caviar Resolution | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tiz for Real | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz a Queen | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brest Fortress | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dare to Hope | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pulling Rank | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cirrusly | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Happy Sonrisa | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cold Hearted Wench | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Orb’s Soul | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sneak Peek | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Summer Express | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Somthingscandalous | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bet Your Bankroll | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gottabegolden | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runaway Dream | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Farewell Time | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fleet Run | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caeus in Pasadena | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Disapproval | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alma Derby | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cat On the Roof | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Richard Ronald | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Ipidate | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Luvmewhenimgone | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Red Kid | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cryptozonic | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Slam’s Man | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | A Song for Arch | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Future Ruler | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | O’L Red | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bertie’s Galaxy | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Takes Two to Tango | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yankee Seven | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | X Clown | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Classy John | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Drewcitable | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Friend Flavin | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Whacudposblygowrng | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Greeley’s Banker | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Philly | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | State Treasurer | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Chaos | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Confederate Yell | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Inspector Eddie | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oneholylion | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beauty Boy | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jake the Band Man | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cheers to Berti | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | More Good Times | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fate Factor | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Broadway Lady | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Audrey’s Time | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Artistic Jewler | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peter’s Kitten | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Go for Mo | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Swanage | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skyvalue | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Princesa Blanca | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Microcap | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sweet Blindness | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Aimara | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | April’s No Fool | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | No Quarter | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Up | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Special Storm | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tripper John | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Flashburn | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | King Liam | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Louisiana Jazz | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wendy’s Will | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Impressive Greely | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sneaky Allie Kat | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | R W ‘s Retirement | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adieu Galaxy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Western Star | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.