Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 10, 2021

January 10, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hero of the Hour 2.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 V Man 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Ice Crush 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 M V P Mookie 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Awesome Party 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Humphrey 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Distinct Quality 12.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Treys Midnite Moon 1.20 4.1 8-1
3 3 Original Intent 4.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Run Tappy 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Fleetway 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Erasmo’s Dream 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Meseta Diablo 8.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Antarctic 6.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Cadet Captain 8.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 6 Staceys Racey 1.60 1.7 3-1
1 2 Caviar Resolution 1.60 2 4-1
2 1 Tiz for Real 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Tiz a Queen 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Brest Fortress 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Dare to Hope 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Pulling Rank 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cirrusly 4.00 2.3 4-1
8 7 Happy Sonrisa 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 5 Cold Hearted Wench 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Orb’s Soul 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Sneak Peek 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Summer Express 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Somthingscandalous 10.00 5 9-1
10 9 Bet Your Bankroll 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 3 Gottabegolden 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Runaway Dream 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Farewell Time 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Fleet Run 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Caeus in Pasadena 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Disapproval 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Alma Derby 15.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Cat On the Roof 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Richard Ronald 8.00 3.8 7-1
12 10 Ipidate 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Luvmewhenimgone 30.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Little Red Kid 50.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Cryptozonic 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Slam’s Man 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 A Song for Arch 5.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Future Ruler 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 O’L Red 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Bertie’s Galaxy 3.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Takes Two to Tango 3.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Yankee Seven 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 X Clown 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Classy John 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Drewcitable 20.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 My Friend Flavin 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Whacudposblygowrng 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Greeley’s Banker 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Philly 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 State Treasurer 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Cajun Chaos 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Confederate Yell 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Inspector Eddie 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Oneholylion 20.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Beauty Boy 20.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Jake the Band Man 30.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Cheers to Berti 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 More Good Times 4.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Fate Factor 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Broadway Lady 3.50 3.5 7-1
10 10 Audrey’s Time 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Artistic Jewler 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Peter’s Kitten 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Go for Mo 10.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Swanage 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Skyvalue 10.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Princesa Blanca 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Microcap 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Sweet Blindness 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Aimara 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 April’s No Fool 20.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 No Quarter 1.20 2.3 4-1
3 3 Cajun Up 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Special Storm 8.00 3.8 7-1
10 9 Tripper John 10.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Flashburn 10.00 5.2 10-1
11 9 King Liam 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Louisiana Jazz 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Wendy’s Will 20.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Impressive Greely 30.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Sneaky Allie Kat 30.00 8.5 16-1
12 10 R W ‘s Retirement 30.00 9 17-1
7 7 Adieu Galaxy 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Western Star 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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