January 10, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dealing Justice | 1.40 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Desserts | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | O’Gotten Girl | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Becca’s Wish | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quick Talker | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Despeight All Odds | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Complexifier | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7A | 7 | Not That Brady | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2A | 2 | Bad Guy | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dubai Bobby | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bend in the River | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smile Bryan | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5B | 5 | Financialstability | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4B | 4 | Qian B C | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blitchton Lady | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ok Honey | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Alana | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vip Nation | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fair Lassie | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fair Regis | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dragoness | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 3 | Ebo Special | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8A | 8 | Secret Zar | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fun Finder | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love Me Tomorrow | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jasminesque | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Dawn | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trapped N My Mind | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Appreciate | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Coffee Bar | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vallarand | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Teetotaler | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Pop the Bubbly | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caumsett | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stormi Cat Lady | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cosmic Kitten | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quiet Type | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Cindervella | 1.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7A | 7 | Rose Ring | 1.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8A | 8 | Miss Loyalty | 1.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Movie Score | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Citizen Matzo | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dirty Bird | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dublinornothin | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Amers | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zecha | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sister Patricia | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nythingzpazible | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Exfiltration | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Destinationwnrscir | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pay Grade | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Photofinish Jeanne | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Epona’s Dream | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flower’s Fortune | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saluki | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Rego Park S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Uno | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Perfect Munnings | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Gator | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lookin for Trouble | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Storm Shooter | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Windy Nations | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Halpert | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New York One | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Roma Carpe | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bastet | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wishes and Dreams | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Women Not Easy | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lucky Lindsey | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yes Your Honor | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Here Comes Meg | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mia Calia | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.