Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 10, 2021

January 10, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dealing Justice 1.40 1.3 3-1
2 2 Mo Desserts 4.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 O’Gotten Girl 1.80 2 4-1
1 1 Becca’s Wish 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Quick Talker 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Despeight All Odds 20.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Complexifier 1.50 1 2-1
7A 7 Not That Brady 3.50 5.2 10-1
2A 2 Bad Guy 3.50 5.2 10-1
3 3 Dubai Bobby 4.50 5.3 10-1
6 6 Bend in the River 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Smile Bryan 4.00 6 11-1
5B 5 Financialstability 6.00 7.2 14-1
4B 4 Qian B C 6.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Blitchton Lady 2.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Ok Honey 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Awesome Alana 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Vip Nation 2.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Fair Lassie 4.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Fair Regis 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Dragoness 30.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3A 3 Ebo Special 1.80 1 2-1
8A 8 Secret Zar 1.80 1.6 3-1
6 6 Fun Finder 2.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Love Me Tomorrow 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Jasminesque 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 First Dawn 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Trapped N My Mind 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Appreciate 15.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Coffee Bar 2.50 1.3 3-1
3 3 Vallarand 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Teetotaler 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Pop the Bubbly 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Caumsett 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Stormi Cat Lady 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Cosmic Kitten 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Quiet Type 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2A 2 Cindervella 1.00 1.2 2-1
7A 7 Rose Ring 1.00 1.2 2-1
8A 8 Miss Loyalty 1.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Movie Score 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Citizen Matzo 4.50 3.5 7-1
10 10 Dirty Bird 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Dublinornothin 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Amers 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Zecha 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Sister Patricia 15.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Nythingzpazible 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Exfiltration 6.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Destinationwnrscir 4.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Pay Grade 3.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Photofinish Jeanne 6.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Epona’s Dream 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Flower’s Fortune 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Saluki 30.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Rego Park S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Uno 2.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Perfect Munnings 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Blue Gator 2.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Lookin for Trouble 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Storm Shooter 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Windy Nations 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Halpert 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 New York One 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Roma Carpe 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bastet 1.20 1.9 4-1
5 5 Wishes and Dreams 1.80 2.7 5-1
3 3 Women Not Easy 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Lucky Lindsey 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Yes Your Honor 20.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Here Comes Meg 15.00 4.5 9-1
7 6 Mia Calia 30.00 6.3 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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