January 9, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Herculina | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Copper | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gingeronmymind | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Remarkable Silver | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sassy Cat | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sainte Mere Eglise | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smirkotch | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Captured Light | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Cheeks | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Aycapote | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saint Larned | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Senzazione | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Money Come | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Superhighway | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Purecrazidude | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tons of Gold | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rags for Britches | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Fog | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rosas Way | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sainthood | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lamutanaatty | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Duke | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gran Runner | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Atlantic Road | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eighthandbroadway | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Polsar | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Liberty | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cowtown | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Battalion | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bluegrass Parkway | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prefect | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Tip | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Til the End | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dover Cliffs | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Untreated | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jeebar | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blitz to Win | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Promise Keeper | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Boreas | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Man Rocket | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Summer Sermon | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chrome Republic | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mystery Mo | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | La Cara Bonita | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shikaka | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cookie Cove | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Henni Penny | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweetsweetsweet | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Me Mo My | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Just Smok’n | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yellen | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Noy | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sound Money | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bracken | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Task | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Simovitch | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rosenquist | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Seminole Beach | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jungle Cry | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Manitowish | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | American Dollar | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Emperor’s Cause | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Eye of Horus | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spheroid | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Big Drink of Water | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bourbon Currency | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Long Blade | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Chief Howcome | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Freewheeler | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silverly Enough | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Gran Saman | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emicrack (CHI) | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Citrus Burst | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Legendary Prince | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Henry’s World | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Royal Squeeze | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Living Vicariously | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Town Classic | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Touch | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’m a G Six | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | South Sea | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joe Di Baggio | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | All Around | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Examiner | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eastern Symphony | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Tropical Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Admission Office | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ride a Comet | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frostmourne | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Doctor Mounty | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Casa Creed | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hay Dakota | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tusk | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Flying Scotsman | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Analyze It | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Time Sensitive | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smarty Queen | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grey Charlotte | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Unmarked Money | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’sanearthmover | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tap Tap Birdie | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Ten Angels | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | La Pinta | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Eye Kitten | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Faith’s a Bluebird | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Learnt | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Not Tonight Bobby | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.