Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 9, 2021

January 9, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Herculina 4.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Copper 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Gingeronmymind 2.50 2.8 5-1
9 9 Remarkable Silver 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Sassy Cat 3.50 3 6-1
7 7 Sainte Mere Eglise 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Smirkotch 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Captured Light 20.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Big Cheeks 30.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Aycapote 3.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Saint Larned 6.00 3 6-1
8 8 Senzazione 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Money Come 4.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Superhighway 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Purecrazidude 8.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Tons of Gold 15.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Rags for Britches 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Red Fog 30.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Rosas Way 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sainthood 3.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Lamutanaatty 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Dr. Duke 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Gran Runner 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Atlantic Road 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Eighthandbroadway 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Polsar 10.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 My Liberty 12.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cowtown 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Battalion 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Bluegrass Parkway 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Prefect 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Mr. Tip 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Til the End 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Dover Cliffs 15.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Untreated 3.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Jeebar 4.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Blitz to Win 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Promise Keeper 4.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Boreas 8.00 4 7-1
4 4 Candy Man Rocket 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Summer Sermon 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Chrome Republic 12.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Mystery Mo 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 La Cara Bonita 2.50 2 4-1
7 7 Shikaka 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Cookie Cove 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Henni Penny 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Sweetsweetsweet 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mo Me Mo My 8.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Just Smok’n 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 Yellen 20.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Lady Noy 30.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sound Money 4.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Bracken 3.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 First Task 4.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Simovitch 6.00 2.7 5-1
11 10 Rosenquist 5.00 2.7 5-1
9 8 Seminole Beach 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Jungle Cry 15.00 5 9-1
12 11 Manitowish 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 7 American Dollar 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Emperor’s Cause 20.00 7.4 14-1
10 9 Eye of Horus 30.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Spheroid 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Big Drink of Water 3.50 3.3 6-1
8 7 Bourbon Currency 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Long Blade 5.00 4.1 8-1
10 9 Chief Howcome 8.00 4.7 9-1
12 11 Freewheeler 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Silverly Enough 10.00 5.9 11-1
11 10 Gran Saman 12.00 6 11-1
2 2 Emicrack (CHI) 20.00 7 13-1
7 6 Citrus Burst 20.00 8.9 17-1
9 8 Legendary Prince 20.00 9 17-1
3 3 Henry’s World 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Royal Squeeze 5.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Living Vicariously 30.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Town Classic 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Secret Touch 3.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 I’m a G Six 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 South Sea 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Joe Di Baggio 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 All Around 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Examiner 30.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Eastern Symphony 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Tropical Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Admission Office 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Ride a Comet 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Frostmourne 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Doctor Mounty 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Casa Creed 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Hay Dakota 15.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Tusk 15.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Flying Scotsman 30.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Analyze It 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Time Sensitive 3.50 2.2 4-1
9 9 Smarty Queen 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Grey Charlotte 4.50 2.5 5-1
12 11 Unmarked Money 10.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 She’sanearthmover 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Tap Tap Birdie 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Our Ten Angels 10.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 La Pinta 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Blue Eye Kitten 20.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Faith’s a Bluebird 30.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Learnt 30.00 9.6 18-1
11 11 Not Tonight Bobby 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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