Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 9, 2021

January 9, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Edge of Anxiety 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bustinmygroove 0.60 2.3 4-1
8 7 Half Day Pam 4.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Iova 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Dramatic Twist 12.00 4.5 8-1
7 6 Ten Plagues 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Sayoh 15.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 New York Banker 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Abbaa 5.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Releasethethunder 2.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 San Juan Diego 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Diddley 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Ninth Hour 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Fox Red 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Supreme Aura 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Hawaiian Noises 20.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Irish Roar (IRE) 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Batterbatterswing 15.00 7.2 14-1
10 7 El Potro 30.00 9.2 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Say Florida Sandy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Funny Guy 0.60 1.9 4-1
2 2 Our Last Buck 4.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 My Boy Tate 2.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Runningwscissors 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Celtic Chaos 10.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Enter Sandwoman 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Betsy Blue 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Shesadirtydancer 2.50 3.3 6-1
9 9 Aurannian 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Delaware Destiny 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Tellaperfecttale 10.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Sassy Melissa 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Empires First Lady 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Moonlight Kiss 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Violent Point 1.80 1.3 3-1
1 1 New York Rock Star 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Lune Lake 4.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Quietude 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Wailin Josie 8.00 5 10-1
7 7 Steal My Heart 10.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Flush 8.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 My First Grammy 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 This Ill Defend 2.50 2.7 5-1
3A 3 A Gray for Carolyn 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 French Toast 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Reticent 8.00 3.4 6-1
1A 1 Ratify 6.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Esor 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Orphan Hallie 20.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Zuzudini 15.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Magic Mojo 2.00 SCRATCH
12 10 True Palace 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Fixation 50.00 9.3 18-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Jake Rocks 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 6 The Big S 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Dubai Bobby 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Beaver Creek 4.50 3 6-1
8 7 Sneakiness 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Therisastormbrewin 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Much Trouble 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Siena Magic 10.00 6 11-1
4 4 Cavaradossi 15.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Mr Phil 20.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Ruvies in Time 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Forgotten Hero 15.00 SCRATCH
3 2 My Roxy Girl 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 3 Baby Boss 4.50 2.5 5-1
8 7 Miss Jimmy 2.50 3 6-1
6 5 Doll 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 1 Awesome Debate 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Beaux Arts 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2A 2 Classy Papa 4.00 SCRATCH
10 8 Economic Policy 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 Orazio 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Vitesse 3.50 3.8 7-1
8 7 Mandatory Payout 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Truebelieve 10.00 4.6 9-1
12 10 Mr. Shortandsimple 12.00 5.6 11-1
13 11 Big’s Gray Day 20.00 7.6 14-1
11 9 Fried Rice King 20.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Mine the Coin 8.00 SCRATCH
6A 6 Magnetron 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Scoreswhenhewants 30.00 10.3 19-1
5 5 True Blue Giant 30.00 10.6 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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