January 9, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Edge of Anxiety | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bustinmygroove | 0.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Half Day Pam | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Iova | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dramatic Twist | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ten Plagues | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sayoh | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | New York Banker | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Abbaa | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Releasethethunder | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | San Juan Diego | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Diddley | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ninth Hour | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fox Red | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Supreme Aura | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Hawaiian Noises | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Irish Roar (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Batterbatterswing | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | El Potro | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Say Florida Sandy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Funny Guy | 0.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Last Buck | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Boy Tate | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runningwscissors | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Celtic Chaos | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Enter Sandwoman | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Betsy Blue | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shesadirtydancer | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aurannian | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Delaware Destiny | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tellaperfecttale | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sassy Melissa | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Empires First Lady | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moonlight Kiss | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Violent Point | 1.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | New York Rock Star | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lune Lake | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quietude | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wailin Josie | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Steal My Heart | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flush | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My First Grammy | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | This Ill Defend | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | A Gray for Carolyn | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | French Toast | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reticent | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Ratify | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Esor | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Orphan Hallie | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zuzudini | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Magic Mojo | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | True Palace | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fixation | 50.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Jake Rocks | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Big S | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dubai Bobby | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Beaver Creek | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sneakiness | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Therisastormbrewin | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Much Trouble | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Siena Magic | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cavaradossi | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Phil | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Ruvies in Time | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forgotten Hero | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | My Roxy Girl | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Baby Boss | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miss Jimmy | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Doll | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Awesome Debate | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Beaux Arts | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Classy Papa | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Economic Policy | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Orazio | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vitesse | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mandatory Payout | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Truebelieve | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Mr. Shortandsimple | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Big’s Gray Day | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Fried Rice King | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mine the Coin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6A | 6 | Magnetron | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Scoreswhenhewants | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | True Blue Giant | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.