January 8, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Discretionary Day | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Circleofchampions | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Star | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Talker | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Flint | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Vision | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brochacho | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pedro Perez | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Henrietta | 50.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vangogo | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Plum Wild | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Trails | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Enriched by Deb | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Full Eclipse | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | You Wanna Ear Rip | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pasito | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hail Freedom | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J C Express | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Well | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Frank Da Tank | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gordy’s Boy | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | That Corey | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bukayo | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Tripledouble | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | He Be Dangerous | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Careless Kitten | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Peachtree Road | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moraz | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whistler’s Style | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lunatic | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Real Hero | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m All the Jedi | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweetest Angel | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Agreetodisagree | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Superman Shaq | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gator Shining | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crossword | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mac Daddy Too | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Minsky (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Windy City Red | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Teton Valley | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Exhalting | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Billy K | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Sybil’s Kitty | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Wandering Patrol | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rolinga | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 1 | Zillinda | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Sherilinda | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Takes a Village | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | All Tea All Shade | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Untouched Elegance | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Fivestar Lynch (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Salvator Mundi | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Our Silver Oak | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Border Town | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Award Winner | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kazan (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Murad Khan (FR) | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | King Theo | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lymebyrd | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frontier Market | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Unbroken Star | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pubilius Syrus | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zestful | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Truth Seeker | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Synthesis | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heartfullofstars | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tobacco Road | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two Thirty Five | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Worthy Turk | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sly | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Move Over (GB) | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fly to Mars | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Camino de Estrella | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Southern King | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Foray | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | New Year | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Of Good Report | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Troutman | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mithqaal | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Liberal (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Justin’s Quest | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | French Getaway | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.