Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 8, 2021

January 8, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Lotsnlotsofchrome 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Romantic Man 4.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Black Limo 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 8 Ohyoudidntknow 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Grape Soda 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Mister J T 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Speechin N Teachin 10.00 6.8 13-1
5 4 Look Out Lambo 10.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Rocco Strong 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Elegant Zip 2.00 1.6 3-1
7 6 Nasty Affair 3.50 2 4-1
4 3 Sky Kitten 6.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Sweet Mia 1.60 3 6-1
6 5 Happy Sophia 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Anydayisherday 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Beaux Arts 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Out First 1.60 2 4-1
7 6 Frost Me 1.80 2.2 4-1
2A 2 Cara’s Dreamer 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 5 Shanes Pretty Lady 4.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Poncho Song 12.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Beach Banker 20.00 5.2 10-1
5A 5 Chasing Cara 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 One Whirlwind Ride 3.00 1.1 2-1
10 9 Taino 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Beatthatflew 4.50 2.3 4-1
11A 10 In the Zone 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Kiss’n Mission 8.00 3.8 7-1
1A 1 Cape Cod Gem 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Tapitena 12.00 5.1 10-1
12 11 Litterbox 15.00 6.1 12-1
6 5 Out of Tune 20.00 6.3 12-1
13 12 Prince Orb 15.00 6.9 13-1
9 8 Spy Story 20.00 7 13-1
5 5 Moonlight Kiss 15.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Indians Image 30.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5A 5 Flatexcel 3.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Other Things Equal 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Autostrade 4.00 2.9 5-1
1A 1 Hardcore Folklore 3.00 3.2 6-1
9 8 Orpheus (ARG) 10.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 This Cat Can Fly 15.00 4 8-1
6 6 Beach Access 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Hero’s Hope 12.00 4.5 9-1
11 10 Real Dan 15.00 5.5 10-1
10 9 Gaultier (FR) 50.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Mills 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 High Command 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 The Reds 2.50 1.4 3-1
9 8 Officiating 3.00 1.4 3-1
6A 5 Carillo 3.50 1.5 3-1
5A 4 Cost Average 3.50 2.3 4-1
8 7 Inspiration Point 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Al’s Prince 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Ask Neal 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Lochinvar (GER) 30.00 6 11-1
4 4 All Mo 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Saratoga Pal 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Raven Rocks 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Prince of Pharoahs 6.00 3 6-1
5 4 Wudda U Think Now 1.60 3.3 6-1
6 5 Notorious Flirt 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Troubleshooter 5.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Tiz Kaz Now 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 Possetizzly 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dust Devil 3.50 2.8 5-1
13 12 Pier Forty 3.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Wild Banker 5.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Grandgran 10.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Quintarelli 15.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Liam’s Fire 20.00 5 10-1
1 1 Stanhope 15.00 5 10-1
7 7 Amistad 20.00 5.3 10-1
12 11 Beachside 15.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Allied Invasion 10.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 I Saw It All 50.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 Time to Testify 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Kid Chocolate 50.00 10.5 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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