January 8, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Lotsnlotsofchrome | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Romantic Man | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Black Limo | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ohyoudidntknow | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Grape Soda | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mister J T | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speechin N Teachin | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Look Out Lambo | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rocco Strong | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Elegant Zip | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nasty Affair | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sky Kitten | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Mia | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Happy Sophia | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Anydayisherday | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beaux Arts | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Out First | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Frost Me | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Cara’s Dreamer | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shanes Pretty Lady | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Poncho Song | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beach Banker | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Chasing Cara | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | One Whirlwind Ride | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Taino | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beatthatflew | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11A | 10 | In the Zone | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kiss’n Mission | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Cape Cod Gem | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tapitena | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Litterbox | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Out of Tune | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Prince Orb | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Spy Story | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moonlight Kiss | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Indians Image | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 5 | Flatexcel | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Other Things Equal | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Autostrade | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Hardcore Folklore | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Orpheus (ARG) | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | This Cat Can Fly | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beach Access | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hero’s Hope | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Real Dan | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Gaultier (FR) | 50.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mills | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | High Command | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | The Reds | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Officiating | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Carillo | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Cost Average | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Inspiration Point | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Al’s Prince | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ask Neal | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lochinvar (GER) | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All Mo | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Saratoga Pal | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Raven Rocks | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prince of Pharoahs | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wudda U Think Now | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Notorious Flirt | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Troubleshooter | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tiz Kaz Now | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Possetizzly | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dust Devil | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Pier Forty | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Banker | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Grandgran | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Quintarelli | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liam’s Fire | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stanhope | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amistad | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Beachside | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Allied Invasion | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Saw It All | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Time to Testify | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Kid Chocolate | 50.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.