Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 7, 2021

January 7, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Calentita (IRE) 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Lido Key 2.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Lovely Brown 6.00 3.5 7-1
9 8 Money Factor 10.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 All About Kathern 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Catnip Kitten 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Helena Beat 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Subtle Joy 30.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Our Fantasy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Izshefrosted 3.00 2 4-1
5 4 Nuscaa 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 1 Fior Di Latte 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 Nancy Work 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 3 Khozzy Valintine 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Party Swagger 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Everthree 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Tonalism 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Blakenstein 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Trinni John 5.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Blacktein 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Halo’s Dance 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Express Boy 20.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Reinoanimaux 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Makinalegacy 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Never My Love 3.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Bode’s Princess 2.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Ideal Breeze 3.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Playera 4.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Mary of Scotland 5.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Divine Encounter 8.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Digital Footprint 2.00 2.2 4-1
8 7 Calamity Kat 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Pretendant 4.00 2.9 6-1
9 8 Cairo Campaign 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Geography 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Ninja Dust 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Beinfun 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Atakan 30.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Please Sit Down 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Black Magic Woman 1.40 1.4 3-1
5 5 Seaside Retreat 2.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Cozy Cafe 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Favorite Sin 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Kiss Theory 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Runaway Mom 10.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 I’m Listening 4.50 3.3 6-1
11 9 Bareeqa 4.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Nantucket Red 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Una Luna 5.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Codrington 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Golden Curl 8.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Star Swept 15.00 8.2 16-1
10 8 Lea Ro 20.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Reagan’s Rose 20.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Money Never Sleeps 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Lucky Jingle 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Willy Boi 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Gatsby 2.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Famous Gent 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Real Talk 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Paladio 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Onemoretimearound 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Beaster 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Quarky 3.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Tiger Blood 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 Mo Maverick 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Fully Loaded 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Dugout 4.50 3 6-1
5 5 Yes I Am Free 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Running for Riz 20.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Dare Day 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pearlescent 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Winnipeg Wonder 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Matcha 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Uptown Queen 6.00 2.4 4-1
9 9 Our West Indy 10.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Alluring Rumba 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Rosey’s Invasion 10.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Miranda Sofia 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Signing Bonus 30.00 6.6 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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