January 7, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Color Fast | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bayou Beaux | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chief Alpha | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Oxbow Wind | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catch This Star | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mail Man Johnny | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Jimmy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Running Rosado | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twn Tawfeers Party | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Weavemeawinr | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Georgia Dawn | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mitch’s Pins | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Envoy’s Guilt | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chatain’s Flyer | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fashion Merit | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grayfully | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tale of Tensas | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scrapbook | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | E Z Breez | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kimmy | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thirstyprospect | 2.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Peach | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Annie Sullivan | 3.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | St. Monica | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | While My Guitar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Warned | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hollywood Square | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elite Runner | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aztec Delite | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Devils Halo | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harlons Commision | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Privacy | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Centastic | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heather’s Request | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rock Ridge | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | McLean | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Civil Servant | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | David’s Grace | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crimson Zip | 1.60 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lightning Lee | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Dude | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Poppi Is Smiling | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charming Bullet | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Egomaniac | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hezanothercorredor | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Debonnaire Dude | 2.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Clever Racer | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whatafind | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Racin Rocks | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Drax | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Jail House | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Hiclass Production | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Charzee Baby | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Calaja | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Condesa’s Handmaid | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Andthebandplayedon | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Spring | 1.80 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | She’s Seventeen | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She Wants Half | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sing the Song | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Hopper | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Fire of Gold | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Todayisnottheday | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Two Mikes N Doc G | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Aqualityindividual | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Buxterhooter | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Drewpower | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dreamonmebaby | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Cantrell Hill | 1.60 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tabia | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Hombre | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Coach Adams | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miami Rose | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dignityto Infinity | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thirstyamericangal | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Running Unbridled | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Geaux Golden | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Palmettovowmenot | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Joe G’s Payback | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lovely Teton | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Affair | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.