Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 7, 2021

January 7, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Color Fast 1.40 1.6 3-1
7 6 Bayou Beaux 15.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Chief Alpha 15.00 1.8 3-1
6 5 Oxbow Wind 8.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Catch This Star 4.00 6 11-1
4 4 Mail Man Johnny 3.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Papa Jimmy 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Running Rosado 12.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Twn Tawfeers Party 1.60 2.1 4-1
1 1 Weavemeawinr 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Georgia Dawn 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Mitch’s Pins 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Envoy’s Guilt 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Chatain’s Flyer 10.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fashion Merit 12.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Grayfully 6.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Tale of Tensas 15.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Scrapbook 15.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 E Z Breez 15.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Kimmy 4.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Thirstyprospect 2.50 8.7 16-1
6 6 Perfect Peach 8.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Annie Sullivan 3.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 St. Monica 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 While My Guitar 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Warned 6.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Hollywood Square 12.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Elite Runner 8.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Aztec Delite 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Devils Halo 3.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Harlons Commision 5.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Royal Privacy 1.80 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Centastic 3.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Heather’s Request 20.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Rock Ridge 5.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 McLean 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Civil Servant 4.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 David’s Grace 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Crimson Zip 1.60 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lightning Lee 8.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Fast Dude 6.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Poppi Is Smiling 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Charming Bullet 15.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Egomaniac 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Hezanothercorredor 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Debonnaire Dude 2.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Clever Racer 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Whatafind 12.00 9.5 18-1
11 11 Racin Rocks 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Drax 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Jail House 4.50 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Hiclass Production 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 3 Charzee Baby 3.50 2.5 5-1
8 7 Calaja 20.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Condesa’s Handmaid 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Andthebandplayedon 4.50 6.1 11-1
2 2 Cool Spring 1.80 6.3 12-1
9 8 She’s Seventeen 10.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 She Wants Half 10.00 7.4 14-1
7 6 Sing the Song 12.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Lady Hopper 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Fire of Gold 15.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Todayisnottheday 20.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Two Mikes N Doc G 8.00 1.4 3-1
2 1 Aqualityindividual 15.00 2.8 5-1
6 4 Buxterhooter 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 6 Drewpower 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 3 Dreamonmebaby 4.00 5.8 11-1
9 7 Cantrell Hill 1.60 6.4 12-1
7 5 Tabia 5.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 El Hombre 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Coach Adams 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Miami Rose 4.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Dignityto Infinity 20.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Thirstyamericangal 1.80 3.7 7-1
6 5 Running Unbridled 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Geaux Golden 6.00 4 8-1
9 8 Palmettovowmenot 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Joe G’s Payback 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Lovely Teton 20.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Big Affair 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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