Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, January 6, 2021

January 6, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Andres Eduardo 5.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Pugin 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Raulito 2.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Sweeney’s Cat 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Uncaptured Pulse 12.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 The Zip Factor 10.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Dallas’ Hiccup 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Sette Stelle 20.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Can’t Be Broken 30.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Papa’s Little Girl 2.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Baccarat Fashion 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Grace’s Drama 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Sassy Justice 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Assume Control 4.50 3 6-1
7 7 Dixie Princess 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Gran Etiqueta 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Skyfly 1.80 1.4 3-1
6 6 No Decaf 3.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Schakolad 5.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Jade Empress 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Khosea 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 One Night Stand 15.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Morocco 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Noble Indy 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Abiding Star 4.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Fig Jelly 4.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 The Last Zip 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Stirling Drive 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Blueridge Traveler 12.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Financial System 12.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 11 Hot Babe 3.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Brody’s Honor 4.50 2 4-1
4 4 Gotham Queen 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Liesel 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Facts Only 5.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Shakem 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Dawnsweetsmile 20.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Mellow Gold 15.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Ten Pin Ally 20.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Tonala 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Dance for the Sun 30.00 9.7 18-1
11 11 Baby Lion 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 State Crown 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Corey 2.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Dem a Wonder 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Battle Cry 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Foolish Heart 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Romantical Note 12.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dr. Shane 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Pagliacci 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Zap Daddy 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 J P Hellish 5.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 High Heater 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Bow Tie Affair 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Just the Facts 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Dexter Road 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Tenacity Zip 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pleasecallmeback 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Majestic Ro 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 Shootin the Breeze 4.50 3.4 6-1
8 7 Indian Counselor 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Mony 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Ahnaf 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Alejandro’s Team 12.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Homeland 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Sounion 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 4 Ashaar 4.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Lookin At Roses 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Don Bourbon 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 7 Summer Kid 5.00 3.4 6-1
8 6 Superfecto 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Target Tales 20.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Mister Candy Ride 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Palace Coup 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Farley 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Playing Hooky 4.50 3 6-1
9 8 Lahinch 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 4 Cash Call Kitten 8.00 5 9-1
7 6 Honolulu Express 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Didnt Do It 20.00 6.6 12-1
3 2 Cowboy’s Hero 20.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Remember the Maine 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Kroy 2.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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