Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, January 6, 2021

January 6, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bobbies Reason 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Star’s Dream 3.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Younmehoneybunny 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Breezin Bye You 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Playin N Traffic 2.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Flash Annie 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Floatie 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Sandy’s Wager 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Crazy Good 6.00 2.6 5-1
9 8 Tornado Crossing 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 2 Creative Legacy 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Goingtoagogo 3.00 2.9 6-1
5 4 Soft N Lovely 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 You’re Doing Fine 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Annie’s Shenanigan 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Two Skies 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Lady Hampton 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Circus 2.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Oxwood 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 4 Olympic Champion 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 1 Charity for All 4.50 2.7 5-1
4 3 Louisville Legend 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Mr. Brutus 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Poppe Hour 12.00 4.6 9-1
1A 7 Mango Tree 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jack the Ripper (FR) 4.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Days of Glory 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Dreammaster 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Dom Caetano (ARG) 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Jurisdiction 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Curlington 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Sandbagger Al 8.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Junior Bug 8.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Shar’s Treasure 12.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Briar Jumper 20.00 9.1 17-1
5 5 One Hitter 20.00 9.3 18-1
12 12 Data Load 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Deanos Cape 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Soul Song 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 5 Pre Heat 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 6 Rose’s Galaxy 4.50 3.8 7-1
2 1 Izzy’s Baby Boy 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 7 Fast Verdict 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 2 Adrenaline 20.00 6 11-1
6 4 Saturday’s Gold 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Half Again 1.80 SCRATCH
1A 3 Bibleman 1.80 SCRATCH
3 4 Sir Pokerface 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Real News 1.80 2.6 5-1
1 1 Born Great 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Power End 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Good One 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Seven Scents 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Its a Wrap 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Madison’s Luna 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Kadesh 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 3 Guided Missile 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Extraordinary 5.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Job Security 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Glory Road 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Warrior’s Map 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Potomac 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Lethal Move 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Armchair Jockey 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Clint Maroon (GB) 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Take That for Data 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Vinyl 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Ya Gotta Wanna 10.00 4 8-1
9 7 Stock Trade 10.00 4.8 9-1
12 10 Late Nite Mischief 10.00 5.1 10-1
10 8 Jo’s Bold Cat 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Foldover 12.00 6.4 12-1
11 9 Major Key 30.00 9 17-1
6 6 Harvey Wallbanger 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Independent Worker 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Noble Egyptian 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 My Rebel Girl 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Looking Hot 6.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Debs Prayer 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Seeking the Stars 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Slewalyze 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Gone Midnight 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Shop Around 20.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Maybe Baby 20.00 5.8 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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