January 5, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Inlike Flen | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brave Rifle | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fazio | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alan’s Argument | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Round Quarter | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Superconductor | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Custom Ready | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Golden V C | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Jack | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | D’wild Muffin | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rock the Jukebox | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tizzy’s Song | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quiet Trip | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lady Belacqua | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Itsnotmyjob | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Allie Dancer | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Diva’s Ransom | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Abigail’s Beauty | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Tetheredtothetruth | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Merenica Mojo | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Star Fashion | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 8 | A. P. Style | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 5 | She’s My Priority | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Eve’s Delight | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Eileen Alexandra | 0.80 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Jack Be Quick | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Giant Influence | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Broadway Ice | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Lovethatcause | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tigerbeach | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’ll Raise You | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Berko | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Trivista | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pi Yo Princess | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moon Lovin | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Knight’s Honor | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Avabell | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sarahs Home | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heartbreak Road | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Anotherinthefire | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hamazing Lace | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Darlene | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Awesomeloveofdeoro | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Galaxy Builder | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Temprano | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Queeten | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Prizeless | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Bending Saint | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Navy Times | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Priority | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Big Em C | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Wild Bert | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Whoosah | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Steal It Back | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wise Verdict | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bernie Special | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Strong Rules | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cajuns Golden Pond | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wise Anchor | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | G’wildcat | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ebony Flash | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Foolish Dreams | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Orleans S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Our Lost Love | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Britches | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toni Ann’s Miracle | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brave Daisey | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Misty Day | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s My Gem | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mucho Amor | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forty Nine Model | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dejoke’s Song | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Get It to Geaux | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cajun Cash | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Buck Dynasty | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quality Production | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mundo Mutadda | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Little Toe | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | One King Cat | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dutchman | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Perfect Parade | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dry Wood Creek | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lucky Andy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dancehall Jack | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.