Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, January 5, 2021

January 5, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Inlike Flen 15.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Brave Rifle 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Fazio 12.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Alan’s Argument 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Round Quarter 20.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Superconductor 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Custom Ready 4.50 3.9 7-1
9 9 Golden V C 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Malibu Jack 3.50 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 D’wild Muffin 1.80 1.9 4-1
3 3 Rock the Jukebox 12.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Tizzy’s Song 5.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Quiet Trip 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lady Belacqua 4.00 6 11-1
4 4 Itsnotmyjob 15.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Lil Allie Dancer 8.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Diva’s Ransom 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 7 Abigail’s Beauty 4.50 1.4 3-1
5 6 Tetheredtothetruth 15.00 1.5 3-1
4 3 Merenica Mojo 6.00 1.7 3-1
2 1 Star Fashion 8.00 1.7 3-1
7 8 A. P. Style 15.00 1.8 3-1
1A 5 She’s My Priority 8.00 6 11-1
1 4 Eve’s Delight 8.00 6.5 12-1
3 2 Eileen Alexandra 0.80 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Jack Be Quick 12.00 1.8 3-1
2 1 Giant Influence 1.80 2.1 4-1
4 3 Broadway Ice 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 4 Lovethatcause 3.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Tigerbeach 8.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 I’ll Raise You 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Berko 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Trivista 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pi Yo Princess 1.80 1 2-1
8 8 Moon Lovin 8.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Knight’s Honor 4.50 1.3 2-1
10 10 Avabell 5.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Sarahs Home 6.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Heartbreak Road 12.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Anotherinthefire 10.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Hamazing Lace 15.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Miss Darlene 20.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Awesomeloveofdeoro 20.00 2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 3 Galaxy Builder 4.50 2.2 4-1
7 8 Temprano 15.00 2.3 4-1
2 1 Queeten 20.00 3.1 6-1
6 7 Prizeless 1.60 4.3 8-1
1A 5 Bending Saint 4.50 4.5 8-1
8 9 Navy Times 10.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Mr. Priority 6.00 6.2 12-1
3 2 Big Em C 3.50 6.4 12-1
5 6 Wild Bert 8.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Whoosah 20.00 1.6 3-1
10 9 Steal It Back 10.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Wise Verdict 15.00 2 4-1
5 4 Bernie Special 12.00 2.1 4-1
8 7 Strong Rules 1.40 2.4 5-1
4 3 Cajuns Golden Pond 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 5 Wise Anchor 8.00 7.2 14-1
9 8 G’wildcat 4.50 8 15-1
1 1 Ebony Flash 6.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Foolish Dreams 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Orleans S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Our Lost Love 2.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Pretty Britches 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Toni Ann’s Miracle 15.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Brave Daisey 12.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Misty Day 4.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 She’s My Gem 15.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Mucho Amor 3.50 5.9 11-1
5 5 Forty Nine Model 10.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Dejoke’s Song 6.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Get It to Geaux 30.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Cajun Cash 15.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Buck Dynasty 2.00 4.5 8-1
6 5 Quality Production 3.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Mundo Mutadda 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Little Toe 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 4 One King Cat 4.50 6.1 12-1
2 2 Dutchman 8.00 6.3 12-1
9 8 Perfect Parade 20.00 7.2 14-1
10 9 Dry Wood Creek 8.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Lucky Andy 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Dancehall Jack 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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