Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, January 4, 2021

January 4, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Running Girl 5.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Dona Camile 8.00 3 6-1
4 3 Carmeltini 1.80 3.1 6-1
6 5 Fine One Won 1.60 3.9 7-1
5 4 Smokin Princess 8.00 4.5 9-1
3 2 Madelyn’s Dancer 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Wises Landing 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Don’t Recall 1.20 3.2 6-1
1 1 Inspired Options 2.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Fox in the Fog 15.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Lt. Columbo 15.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Copperhead Creek 4.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Slam Bang 20.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Sunshine Crusader 20.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Above Par 3.50 2 4-1
6 6 Shoobiedoobydoo 2.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Twirling Liz 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Cardi G 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Empress of Fortune 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 She’smysunshine 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Triple Jump 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Passport Required 1.80 2.7 5-1
7 6 Frisky Feeling 5.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Ain’t None Lucky 1.60 3.3 6-1
8 7 Quiet Please 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Pablo’s Dream 20.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 African Song 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Tweety Kitten 20.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Better Begin 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 She’s Primo 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Dreaming Diamonds 1.60 3.6 7-1
5 5 Freedom Passage 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Shero 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Double the Bet 3.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Karabessa 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 J J Loves Billy 10.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Risque Express 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Smirk 3.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Royal Coup 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Mamaigotthis 6.00 5 9-1
8 8 Synergized 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Aspen Xtreme 5.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Piggybank 8.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Maynooth 8.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Vero Sun 8.00 7 13-1
9 9 Audience of One 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Arkaan 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 8 I’m Busy 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 Wentz 12.00 4 8-1
7 6 Royal Urn 3.50 4 8-1
9 9 Broad Street Bully 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Irish Colonel 5.00 4.5 9-1
5 4 Chilly in Charge 3.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 New Commission 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 1 Pnutbutter Special 15.00 7.3 14-1
1A 9 Shanghai Superfly 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Refuseing 5.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Offlee Cloudy 10.00 3.6 7-1
10 9 Take Your Place 2.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Legal Gump 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Ninetyeightoctane 12.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 A J’s Way 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 5 Truly a Moon Shot 10.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Mantle 20.00 7.3 14-1
5 4 Saucy Don 10.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Smart Royal T 20.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 The Pooch 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 5 Zertz 2.50 2.1 4-1
8 7 Palatial Times 3.00 3.2 6-1
1A 9 Garban 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 1 The King Cheek 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 3 Alpha Chi Rho 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 2 Just a Thought 8.00 6.7 13-1
7 6 Pensamiento 15.00 7.4 14-1
5 4 Claw 15.00 7.9 15-1
10 8 Classy American 10.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Meet Me At Mundis 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Louie’s Law 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Otis Otis Otis 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Tally Mo 5.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Atlantic Chill 2.50 4.6 9-1
10 9 King of Ranch 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 King’s Castle 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 West Fork 4.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 El Dulzura 10.00 5.4 10-1
8 7 It’s Pazible 10.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Bill’s Mafia 20.00 7 13-1
6 6 Talented Son 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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