January 4, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Running Girl | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dona Camile | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Carmeltini | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fine One Won | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Smokin Princess | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Madelyn’s Dancer | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wises Landing | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Recall | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Inspired Options | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fox in the Fog | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lt. Columbo | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Copperhead Creek | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slam Bang | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunshine Crusader | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Above Par | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shoobiedoobydoo | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twirling Liz | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cardi G | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Empress of Fortune | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’smysunshine | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Triple Jump | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Passport Required | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Frisky Feeling | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ain’t None Lucky | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Quiet Please | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pablo’s Dream | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | African Song | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tweety Kitten | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Better Begin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | She’s Primo | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreaming Diamonds | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freedom Passage | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shero | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Double the Bet | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Karabessa | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | J J Loves Billy | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risque Express | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Smirk | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Coup | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mamaigotthis | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Synergized | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aspen Xtreme | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Piggybank | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maynooth | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vero Sun | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Audience of One | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Arkaan | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | I’m Busy | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wentz | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Royal Urn | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Broad Street Bully | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Irish Colonel | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chilly in Charge | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | New Commission | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pnutbutter Special | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Shanghai Superfly | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Refuseing | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Offlee Cloudy | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Take Your Place | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Legal Gump | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ninetyeightoctane | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | A J’s Way | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Truly a Moon Shot | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mantle | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Saucy Don | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Royal T | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Pooch | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Zertz | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Palatial Times | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Garban | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | The King Cheek | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Alpha Chi Rho | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Just a Thought | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pensamiento | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Claw | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Classy American | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Meet Me At Mundis | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Louie’s Law | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Otis Otis Otis | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tally Mo | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Atlantic Chill | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | King of Ranch | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King’s Castle | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | West Fork | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | El Dulzura | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | It’s Pazible | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bill’s Mafia | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Talented Son | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.