January 3, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Carmelita’s Man | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clayton Delaney | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sea of Liberty | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big City Bane | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kakistocracy | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Claim of Passion | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Offshore Affair | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tropical Terror | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Fast Bro | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pharoah’s Heart | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bye Bye Miss Pie | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Rachel | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Mo’ Licious | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spanish Channel | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Vegas Kitten | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Untamed Domain | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seeking Refuge | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jammers Justice | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shadow Sphinx | 1.60 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maestro Dearte | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Thought | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shane Zain | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Street Image | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Minoso | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awhitesportscoat | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jedi Knight | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Flip the Coin Jan | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Camby | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mister Mojo | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Short of Ez | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Portando | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Debt Monger | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tristram Speaker | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Mr. Esken | 50.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Seeker | 50.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Peridot | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | A G Indy | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | White Velvet | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Equal Measure | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Summer Love | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sabinos Pride | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blazing Charm | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jen’s Battle | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Du Jour | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roman Centurian | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Star Sailor | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Editor in Chief | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kennebec | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Santos to Wilson | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Allaboutthemoney | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Fame | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mongolian Ford | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Papale | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Wind and Hope | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Acoustic Shadow | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shes’a Perfectlady | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | England’s Rose | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lookintogeteven | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Disappearing Act | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lemon Drop Tini | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lookin So Lucky | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Santa Ynez S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Exotic West | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kalypso | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frosteria | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Queengol | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brilliant Cut | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nasreddine | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Varda | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gallovie (GB) | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | A New Peace | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Althea Gibson | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | All Quality | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Affianced | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Miss Lucy (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quiet Secretary | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nu Pi Lambda | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Constantia | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Woke Up to Aces | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dolce | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Powerfulattraction | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Over Attracted | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Magical Gray | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.