January 3, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Amity Island | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rosey’s Peach | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Maria’s Gift | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Employees Only | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Theatrical Dancer | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bellamy’spartygirl | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Quashana | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barefoot Dancer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Queen’s Mason | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Macho Jack | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dr. Devera’s Way | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oh My Papa | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beach Front | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Justice of War | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ventus | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Dan the Man Can | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Rising | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Johnnypump | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ajhar | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Aunt Kat | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mandatory | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Halo City | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | True Palace | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zuzudini | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Advanced Strategy | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cold Hard Cash | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Microscope | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Too Early | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Open Lengths | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forever Wicked | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run for Boston | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sirenic | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mama Kin | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Mi Mi | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Corey | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Black Belt | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | City Temper | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ancient Brown | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Adhwaa | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Family Biz | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dark Storm | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Super Dude | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hammerin Aamer | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American Rule | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | American Lincoln | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Castagno | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Air Attack | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 8 | Jerry the Nipper | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Six Percent | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Bay | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twisted Tom | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pategory One | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Opt | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Control Group | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Seven Lilies | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freaky Styley | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Veloce | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10A | 10 | Microsecond | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – La Verdad S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Sharp Starr | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Mrs. Orb | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Espresso Shot | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Prairie Fire | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Timely Tradition | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sadie Lady | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Red Priestess | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Investment Grade | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | The Great Poohdini | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Captivating Cara | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Avid Sucinori | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stella Mars | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vive La Liberty | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Willow Grove | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wish for Magic | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Blessed Mothermary | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Winter Warrior | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Flirtacious Kiss | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.