Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 2, 2021
January 2, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Hip Flask | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Gilded Apple | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lil Bad Lil Boujee | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Custom Gulch | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Commercial Flash | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Magic Coy | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sharp Buzz | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nottodayfellas | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Clocked in Tyme | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Speak Briley | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gerrie Lou | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Outlaw X. | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Freedomfi | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Richie Gary | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Bayou Jam | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Guitar King | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Taking Notes | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Standing Man | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Striking Star | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Verdict | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sir Pokerface | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Eatorbeeaten | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Double Dare You | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Outkickthecoverage | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mon Cherie | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gastown | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Princess d’Oro | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tizindy Queen | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Alibi | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Veils and Vows | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Making Progress | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pilot Prince | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | My Boy Gus | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Double Tough Tiger | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Nick | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Haleys Sailor | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Hooked a Goodwin | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | High Press | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Aniclude | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Guitar Tribute | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mangelsen | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Reluctant Warrior | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rahfees Man | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Love Conquers | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Binding Agreement | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Remembermis | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Run Rocket | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Star Banjo | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Like Mike | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tensas Toddy | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 1A | 15 | Louisiana Moon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Papa’s Boy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Imindycatbirdseat | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cabo’s Rumor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sixth Street | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | April in Paris | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | San Destin | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love Enough | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sconset | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Simply Beguiled | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Portofina | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kingpin | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Laddie Boy | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Homebred | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Master Guns | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | About Our Time | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hilton Magic | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Land Mark Deal | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Song for Arch | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spectrolite | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Man of Honor | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jus Lively | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Stuck in Vegas | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jax Man | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sydster | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mageez | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trevilion | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Changi | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Social Afleet | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spare Cash | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saranya | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Art Rock | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jungle Cat | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Point of Infinity | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Postnup | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Forever Mesa | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Tine (FR) | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ostracize | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Peace Nicker | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Bunnings (BRZ) | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ignition Key | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Laugh It Off | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Go Big Green | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Flatteringapplause | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Sweet Workout | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2 | Defeater | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Gershwin | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Colonel Bowman | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Divinium | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Donzi | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Chrome Finish | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Ogre’s Lion King | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mo Betta | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Mount Athos | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Flat Out American | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Aeronaut | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
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