Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 2, 2021

January 2, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Hip Flask 3.50 2.9 5-1
10 9 Gilded Apple 1.60 3.6 7-1
4 3 Lil Bad Lil Boujee 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Custom Gulch 4.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Commercial Flash 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Magic Coy 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Sharp Buzz 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 5 Nottodayfellas 30.00 7 13-1
11 10 Clocked in Tyme 30.00 7.3 14-1
9 8 Speak Briley 30.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Gerrie Lou 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Outlaw X. 4.00 4 8-1
9 7 Freedomfi 6.00 4.3 8-1
11 8 Richie Gary 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 2 Bayou Jam 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 4 Guitar King 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 1 Taking Notes 4.50 5.3 10-1
5 3 Standing Man 8.00 6.1 11-1
7 5 Striking Star 30.00 7 13-1
1 1 Fast Verdict 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sir Pokerface 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Eatorbeeaten 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Double Dare You 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 5 Outkickthecoverage 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Mon Cherie 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Gastown 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Princess d’Oro 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Tizindy Queen 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 My Alibi 20.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Veils and Vows 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Making Progress 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pilot Prince 3.00 2 4-1
5 4 My Boy Gus 4.50 2.2 4-1
8 6 Double Tough Tiger 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Big Nick 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Haleys Sailor 6.00 5 9-1
7 5 Hooked a Goodwin 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 High Press 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Aniclude 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Guitar Tribute 3.00 3 6-1
3 2 Mangelsen 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Reluctant Warrior 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Rahfees Man 8.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Love Conquers 8.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Binding Agreement 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 8 Remembermis 10.00 6.5 12-1
2 1 Run Rocket 12.00 7 13-1
11 11 Star Banjo 15.00 7.5 14-1
6 5 Like Mike 15.00 9.6 18-1
5 4 Tensas Toddy 20.00 9.8 19-1
1A 15 Louisiana Moon 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Papa’s Boy 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Imindycatbirdseat 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Cabo’s Rumor 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sixth Street 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 April in Paris 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 San Destin 3.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Love Enough 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Sconset 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Simply Beguiled 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Portofina 8.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kingpin 3.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Laddie Boy 3.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Homebred 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Master Guns 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 About Our Time 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Hilton Magic 6.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Land Mark Deal 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 A Song for Arch 10.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Spectrolite 10.00 7.7 14-1
10 10 Man of Honor 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jus Lively 2.50 2.8 5-1
8 7 Stuck in Vegas 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Jax Man 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Sydster 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Mageez 6.00 5 10-1
2 2 Trevilion 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Changi 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Social Afleet 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Spare Cash 4.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Saranya 3.00 3.1 6-1
10 9 Art Rock 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Jungle Cat 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Point of Infinity 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Postnup 8.00 4.8 9-1
11 10 Forever Mesa 12.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Princess Tine (FR) 10.00 6.2 12-1
9 8 Ostracize 12.00 7 13-1
13 12 Peace Nicker 15.00 7.3 14-1
12 11 Bunnings (BRZ) 15.00 8 15-1
6 6 Ignition Key 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Laugh It Off 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Go Big Green 4.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Flatteringapplause 20.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Sweet Workout 20.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 2 Defeater 3.00 1.1 2-1
1 3 Gershwin 2.50 1.1 2-1
1A 6 Colonel Bowman 2.50 1.2 2-1
8 5 Divinium 6.00 2.4 5-1
10 7 Donzi 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 4 Chrome Finish 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 1 Ogre’s Lion King 20.00 5.2 10-1
2 1 Mo Betta 15.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Mount Athos 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Flat Out American 30.00 SCRATCH
9 10 Aeronaut 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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