January 2, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Democratic Values | 1.20 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scorpion Dynasty | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kith | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Knockout Punch | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joycee Haz Pizzaz | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ouch Ouch Ouch | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Camouflaged Kisser | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tuff Bird | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wings of Fire | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess in Charge | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Charlotte Webley | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Left Leaning Lucy | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elite Speed | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mebs Web | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gagliano | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heartstrings | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mani Pedi | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Money Ride | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Instinctive Rhythm | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Took Charge | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rejected Again | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Morning Breez | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Sicarii | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Ringgood | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Judge Alexander | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Starship Empire | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Theitalianamerican | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Z’finale | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ratchet | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mariner Qui | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Second Fortune | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Whats in It for Me | 50.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lorenzen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 8 | Outrageous Bet | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ekhtibaar | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hardcore Folklore | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Ramsey | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scarf It Down | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Creative Style | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hawaiian Noises | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gaultier (FR) | 50.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Professor Snape | 50.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Breakfastatbonnies | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hip Number One | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jill’s a Hot Mess | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Payne | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gracefully Wild | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nebo | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Know It All Red | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Handle the Truth | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Empires First Lady | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Perceived | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | First Line | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jerusalem Gates | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sixto | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Colormepazzi | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kingfish | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Diannesimpazible | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fotis | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shadow Caster | 50.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Gravesend S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stan the Man | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Boy Tate | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pete’s Play Call | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drafted | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Farm | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 5 | Freedom Force | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiergan | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10A | 10 | Unbridled John | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mental Model | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Doubly Blessed | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bronxville | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beachside | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Implied Volatility | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I See the Stars | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Super Wicked Charm | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Amanjena | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Saw It All | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Pricing Exercise | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Royal Suspect | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Glenn Likes Gin | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ridolfo | 50.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.