Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, December 30, 2020

December 30, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 A Little Guilty 20.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Aunt Jana 20.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Sassy Sapphire 20.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 With a Whisper 1.80 8.6 16-1
1 1 Toshita Forever 15.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 River Rain 4.50 8.8 17-1
7 7 Sunny Empire 6.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Arctic Guitar 3.50 8.9 17-1
2 2 Belinda 10.00 9.1 17-1
8 8 Lady’s Tribute 10.00 9.6 18-1
11 11 Two Skies 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Man Camp 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Royal Reality 12.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Colonel Pike 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Aw Shucks 10.00 2.7 5-1
8 7 Stormation 20.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Halfmoon Reef 15.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Boston Repo 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 I Want a Picture 4.50 5.9 11-1
7 7 Big Em C 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 War Player 15.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Miller’s Pointe 4.00 2.3 4-1
11 8 Reposado 20.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Real Brave 20.00 9.4 18-1
12 9 Cajun Navy 15.00 9.4 18-1
8 6 Muffin Nuts 2.50 9.7 18-1
9 7 Daddy Cool Cat 3.50 9.8 18-1
7 5 Wild Firemaker 12.00 10 19-1
5 5 Lone Star Rebel 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Heather’s Request 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Double Priority 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Meet Kevin 15.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Bulletsandbourbon 30.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Will B Late 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Zugersee 2.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Salt Life Angel 12.00 5 9-1
8 8 Queen Gigi 5.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 My Little Gardner 6.00 6 11-1
3 3 Golden Expresso 6.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Heather Divine 4.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Splashdown 5.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Adios Carlos 20.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Sugarland Express 6.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Pioneer Pride 20.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Run Ethan Run 2.00 2 4-1
10 10 Da’money Alarm 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Jays Riverwrangler 15.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Friendofthecourt 10.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Grand Prado 8.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Wicked Fitz 5.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Gottagojoe 15.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lauralee Cocodree 2.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 G G Has a Shot 20.00 1.8 3-1
10 9 Money Sunk 15.00 2 4-1
9 8 Typhoon Zing 20.00 3 6-1
7 7 Ladie Verrazano 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Dixie Loving 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Fruhl’n Around 3.50 7.4 14-1
6 6 Majestic Edge 4.50 8 15-1
3 3 My Little Fire 10.00 8.2 16-1
8 8 Candy Candy Candy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 High Ridge 20.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Binding 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Classic Greeley 12.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Liam Skye 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Purim King 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Meditate 15.00 5 10-1
4 4 Mister Intuition 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Smooth Current 4.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Double Cool 15.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Baudette Blizzard 2.00 9 17-1
11 11 Venn 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Granfathersleugirl 30.00 3 6-1
3 3 Shrew Grit 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 Musket’s Cup Cake 15.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 Cool Deal 15.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Chatain’s Flyer 20.00 7.7 15-1
6 5 Lady Rad 1.80 7.9 15-1
2 2 Ratatouille 20.00 8.3 16-1
7 6 Silent Trick 4.50 8.3 16-1
9 8 Rhett’s Racer 3.50 9.9 19-1
5 5 Prophetess Wisdom 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Olivia’s Duchess 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Salute Elle 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Prospect Crissi 12.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Floatie 20.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Bit Coin Queen 8.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Super Legs 6.00 8 15-1
9 9 Ebony Bay 1.80 8.1 15-1
2 2 Roman Jewels 10.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Primary First 12.00 8.2 16-1
5 5 Aim Spot 10.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Golden Paree 15.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Miss Sooner Girl 3.50 8.6 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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