December 30, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | A Little Guilty | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Jana | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sassy Sapphire | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | With a Whisper | 1.80 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toshita Forever | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | River Rain | 4.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sunny Empire | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arctic Guitar | 3.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Belinda | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady’s Tribute | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Two Skies | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Man Camp | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Reality | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Colonel Pike | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aw Shucks | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Stormation | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Halfmoon Reef | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Boston Repo | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Want a Picture | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Em C | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | War Player | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miller’s Pointe | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Reposado | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Real Brave | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Cajun Navy | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Muffin Nuts | 2.50 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Daddy Cool Cat | 3.50 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Wild Firemaker | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lone Star Rebel | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Heather’s Request | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Double Priority | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Meet Kevin | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bulletsandbourbon | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Will B Late | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zugersee | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Salt Life Angel | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queen Gigi | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Little Gardner | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Expresso | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heather Divine | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Splashdown | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Adios Carlos | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sugarland Express | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pioneer Pride | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run Ethan Run | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Da’money Alarm | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jays Riverwrangler | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Friendofthecourt | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Prado | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Fitz | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gottagojoe | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lauralee Cocodree | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | G G Has a Shot | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Money Sunk | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Typhoon Zing | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ladie Verrazano | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Loving | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fruhl’n Around | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Edge | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Little Fire | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Candy Candy Candy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | High Ridge | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Binding | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Greeley | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Liam Skye | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Purim King | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Meditate | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mister Intuition | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smooth Current | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Double Cool | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baudette Blizzard | 2.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Venn | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Granfathersleugirl | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shrew Grit | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Musket’s Cup Cake | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cool Deal | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chatain’s Flyer | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lady Rad | 1.80 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ratatouille | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Silent Trick | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rhett’s Racer | 3.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prophetess Wisdom | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Olivia’s Duchess | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Salute Elle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Prospect Crissi | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Floatie | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bit Coin Queen | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super Legs | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ebony Bay | 1.80 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roman Jewels | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Primary First | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aim Spot | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Paree | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Sooner Girl | 3.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.