December 29, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bregman | 5.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Peytonwegotdonuts | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wrongwayhighway | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Cajun Berti | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crusader Express | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Charli Michael | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seven Times Seven | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Good Times Rollin | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daves Friend Dewey | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coast Guardsman | 1.80 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Friendofthecourt | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Joe Diver | 4.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Last Destiny | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Batty | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sweet Milagros | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ideal Mallory | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cajun Shots | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jozzy Bell | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nickys Guitar | 2.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ultimate Challenge | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mighty Pegasus | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Miss Mabelee | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | See Sassy Run | 3.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s a Fair Catch | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | A. K. A. Grams | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Miracle Girl | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | C. F. Shelauh | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beaux Tox | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiger O | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mischief Girl | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kaitlyn’s Court | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lil Eva Jane | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | White Tail Deer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Escape the Galaxy | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | One Smooth Katch | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Minister Mickey | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Harvey | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | K for Kohen | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Classy’s Fast Roy | 5.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Priced Right | 3.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zippit Zippy | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Geminator | 2.50 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Nate’s Fury | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Flashburn | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jewels of Sorce | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | C C’s Baby Girl | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Untethered Soul | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No No No | 1.80 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zarla | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crescent Lace | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | L L L College Fund | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sassy Mallory | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gemodixie | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Ultimate Force | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Fasthappy | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Poseidon’s Queen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Jump the Gun | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Faith and Fire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | She a Hot Mess | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rachie Rach | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rebecca’s Music | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shacks River | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Don’t Split Tens | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Krafty Boy | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forgotten Coast | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diplomatic Shaft | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Much Class | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Exton | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Always a Catch | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Natealyze | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | December Seven | 1.80 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Haus | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Halos Prayer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | D’rock | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Derby Dog | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cat On the Roof | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Picacho Peak | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | My Perfect Graydar | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Reach the Circle | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Spendaholic | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Baptism | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lenape Drive | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Snoose Goose | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | From Now On | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Moment | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 9 | Weknewuweretrouble | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pops Legacy | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Indium | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Yeowzer | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Valley of the Hide | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | When I Do | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Wined Up | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | King of the Testo | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Apalachee Bay | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Pine Grove Road | 8.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.