Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, December 29, 2020

December 29, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bregman 5.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Peytonwegotdonuts 8.00 1.5 3-1
11 11 Wrongwayhighway 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Cajun Berti 15.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Crusader Express 12.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Charli Michael 12.00 2 4-1
3 3 Seven Times Seven 15.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Good Times Rollin 30.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Daves Friend Dewey 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Coast Guardsman 1.80 9.1 17-1
12 12 Friendofthecourt 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Joe Diver 4.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Last Destiny 15.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Batty 20.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Sweet Milagros 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ideal Mallory 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Cajun Shots 15.00 7 13-1
3 3 Jozzy Bell 10.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Nickys Guitar 2.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Ultimate Challenge 5.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Mighty Pegasus 6.00 7.7 15-1
12 12 Miss Mabelee 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 See Sassy Run 3.50 9.3 18-1
7 7 She’s a Fair Catch 8.00 9.6 18-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 A. K. A. Grams 3.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Miss Miracle Girl 10.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 C. F. Shelauh 10.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Beaux Tox 8.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Tiger O 12.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Mischief Girl 2.50 6.2 12-1
4 4 Kaitlyn’s Court 5.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Lil Eva Jane 4.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 White Tail Deer 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Escape the Galaxy 20.00 8.6 16-1
7 6 One Smooth Katch 4.50 9 17-1
10 9 Minister Mickey 15.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 My Harvey 20.00 9.4 18-1
4 4 K for Kohen 30.00 9.5 18-1
6 5 Classy’s Fast Roy 5.00 9.5 18-1
8 7 Priced Right 3.50 9.5 18-1
1 1 Zippit Zippy 10.00 9.7 18-1
9 8 Geminator 2.50 9.8 18-1
11 10 Nate’s Fury 15.00 10 19-1
12 12 Flashburn 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jewels of Sorce 15.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 C C’s Baby Girl 3.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Untethered Soul 4.50 4.9 9-1
7 7 No No No 1.80 5.1 10-1
4 4 Zarla 6.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Crescent Lace 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 L L L College Fund 10.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Sassy Mallory 20.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Gemodixie 10.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Ultimate Force 4.50 1 2-1
9 7 Fasthappy 6.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Poseidon’s Queen 15.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Jump the Gun 12.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Faith and Fire 20.00 SCRATCH
5 4 She a Hot Mess 1.80 1.5 3-1
6 5 Rachie Rach 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 1 Rebecca’s Music 10.00 6.7 13-1
7 6 Shacks River 12.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Don’t Split Tens 20.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Krafty Boy 10.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Forgotten Coast 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Diplomatic Shaft 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Much Class 3.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Exton 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Always a Catch 10.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Natealyze 5.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 December Seven 1.80 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Haus 10.00 1.6 3-1
11 11 Halos Prayer 20.00 SCRATCH
9 7 D’rock 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Derby Dog 12.00 3.1 6-1
12 12 Cat On the Roof 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Picacho Peak 6.00 SCRATCH
8 6 My Perfect Graydar 4.50 6 11-1
10 8 Reach the Circle 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 5 Spendaholic 8.00 6.9 13-1
3 2 Baptism 20.00 7.1 13-1
4 3 Lenape Drive 20.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Snoose Goose 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 From Now On 20.00 1.7 3-1
11 11 Moment 8.00 SCRATCH
12 9 Weknewuweretrouble 12.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Pops Legacy 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Indium 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Yeowzer 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 4 Valley of the Hide 8.00 6.3 12-1
8 7 When I Do 15.00 7 13-1
3 3 Red Wined Up 20.00 SCRATCH
6 5 King of the Testo 5.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Apalachee Bay 2.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Pine Grove Road 8.00 9.8 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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