Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Monday, December 28, 2020

December 28, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Custom Bobby’s 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Ready for Love 5.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Ranch Badge 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Sarah’s Vision 5.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Apache Tears 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Stonecatcher 12.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 Martinized 20.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 No Pedigree 0.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Chelsea Bridge 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 5 Singing n’ Praying 3.50 2.9 5-1
8 7 Liberated Strife 4.50 2.9 6-1
7 6 Custom for Aly 3.50 3 6-1
4 3 Fuhr Meo 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 2 Debs Prayer 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Julia’s Chance 20.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Absolutely Mindy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Zabava 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Apple Dapple 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Emmport 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Strollin the Bayou 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Cubs Win 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Herbs Love 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 North of Eden 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Lucky Dare 10.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Limage 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Miss Underrated 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Adina 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Whodatwhodat 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Ezee Enough 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Crypto Brave 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Hey Grace 5.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Foursweetnieces 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Carondelet 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Nine Line Bind 15.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 Archrival 4.00 2 4-1
1A 7 V Man 4.50 2.3 4-1
9 10 Rock On Kitten 3.50 2.7 5-1
1 5 Magi 4.50 3.1 6-1
2 1 Ice Crush 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Sparkys Surprise 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Humphrey 6.00 4 7-1
8 9 Ice Peak 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Awesome Party 15.00 5.9 11-1
5 4 Dontwishfortrouble 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Andrea’s Angel 4.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Perfect Impression 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Blonde On Tap 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Jersey Lillie 4.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Effloresce 8.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Fist Full of Dice 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Im Coming Over 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Brest Fortress 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Unwanted Input 3.00 2.4 4-1
2 1 Klayton’s Kandy 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 2 Bell Day 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 4 Rumpus 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 3 Sparkle of Hope 12.00 5 9-1
9 7 Solar Reflection 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 5 Aunt Joie 12.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Special Assistant 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Andthebeatgoeson 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 2 Grove Daddy 3.00 2 4-1
8 9 Coltonator 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 7 Verb 4.50 2.8 5-1
1A 3 Mister K 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 5 Lafitte’s Fleet 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 1 Full Authority 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 6 Chublicious 4.00 4 7-1
7 8 Sir Truebadour 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 4 Nice Work 20.00 5.7 11-1
9 10 Destiny Way 30.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Doc Girl 3.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 New Boss 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Taylor’s Tourist 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Risky Reward 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Blissful Change 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Blossom Road 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Easy to Bless 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 It’sfiftyshadetime 12.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Spun d’Etat 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Maystart 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 4 King’s Prayer 1.80 2.2 4-1
1 1 Amazing American 1.80 3 6-1
5 3 Gem of Carlos 4.00 3.4 6-1
9 8 Outamine 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Lions Hot Mess 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Too Much Bourbon 12.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Ide B a Winner 15.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Chasing a Saint 20.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Swinging Galaxy 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 First Metal Count 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More
Scoreboard
Go to Scoreboard