December 28, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Custom Bobby’s | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ready for Love | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ranch Badge | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sarah’s Vision | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Apache Tears | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stonecatcher | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Martinized | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Pedigree | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chelsea Bridge | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Singing n’ Praying | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Liberated Strife | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Custom for Aly | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fuhr Meo | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Debs Prayer | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Julia’s Chance | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Absolutely Mindy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Zabava | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Apple Dapple | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emmport | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strollin the Bayou | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cubs Win | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Herbs Love | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | North of Eden | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Dare | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Limage | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Underrated | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Adina | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Whodatwhodat | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ezee Enough | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crypto Brave | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Grace | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Foursweetnieces | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carondelet | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nine Line Bind | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Archrival | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 7 | V Man | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Rock On Kitten | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Magi | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Ice Crush | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Sparkys Surprise | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Humphrey | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Ice Peak | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Awesome Party | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Dontwishfortrouble | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Andrea’s Angel | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Impression | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blonde On Tap | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jersey Lillie | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Effloresce | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fist Full of Dice | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Im Coming Over | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brest Fortress | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Unwanted Input | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Klayton’s Kandy | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Bell Day | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Rumpus | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sparkle of Hope | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Solar Reflection | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Aunt Joie | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Special Assistant | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Andthebeatgoeson | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Grove Daddy | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Coltonator | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Verb | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 3 | Mister K | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Full Authority | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Chublicious | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Sir Truebadour | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Nice Work | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Destiny Way | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Doc Girl | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | New Boss | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taylor’s Tourist | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Risky Reward | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blissful Change | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blossom Road | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Easy to Bless | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | It’sfiftyshadetime | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spun d’Etat | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Maystart | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 4 | King’s Prayer | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amazing American | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Gem of Carlos | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Outamine | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lions Hot Mess | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Too Much Bourbon | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ide B a Winner | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chasing a Saint | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swinging Galaxy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | First Metal Count | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.