Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 27, 2020

December 27, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Reiwa 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Cassie Belle 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Kleen Karma 4.00 2.8 5-1
10 8 Eddie’s Sister 10.00 3 6-1
6 5 Scarlet Heat 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 New Heat 5.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Hot On the Trail 20.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Concise Advice 20.00 9.4 18-1
5 5 Pushing Sixty 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 La Gata Elegante 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Exaulted 1.20 1.8 3-1
1 1 Direct Line 4.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Mongolian Kingdom 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Mastering 1.60 2.5 5-1
5 5 Mongol Altai 30.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Eddie Logan S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cathkin Peak (IRE) 5.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Beer Can Man 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Big Fish 4.00 3 6-1
7 7 Ebeko (IRE) 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Barrister Tom 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Commander Khai 3.50 4.5 8-1
6 6 Party Game (IRE) 15.00 5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sky Navigator 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Cashlings 4.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Bolu 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Alexander’s Dream 5.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Coastal King 20.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Love My Jimmy 3.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Santiago’s Wish 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Cross Indian 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Armour Plate 2.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Honos Man 1.60 2.4 5-1
5 5 Turn the Switch 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Go Time 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Street Behavior 20.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Palace Prince 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Railsplitter 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Meadway 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Turntheclocktozero 5.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Leprino 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Octopus 2.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Natural History 2.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Lolo Paniolo 5.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Prince Ricky 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Nonno’s Polaris 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Brix 4.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Jetovator 4.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 First Prez 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Master Ryan 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Mr. Brownstone 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Caerulean 8.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Zipper Mischief 8.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Dapper 20.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Hit the Seam 12.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Single Me Out 12.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Foothill 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hockey Dad 3.50 1.8 3-1
10 10 Big Story 4.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Big Frank Da Tank 12.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Hail Freedom 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Warrens Candy Man 3.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 The Chosen Vron 4.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Whiskey Talk 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Rowdy Oh 20.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Champagne Pegasus 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Sir Williams Dream 50.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Robert J. Frankel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rideforthecause 3.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Miss Teheran (IRE) 5.00 4.2 8-1
9 7 Zee Drop 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Altea (FR) 5.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Colonial Creed 12.00 5.8 11-1
10 8 Mucho Unusual 2.50 6.1 11-1
2 2 She’s Our Charm 12.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Never Be Enough (GB) 12.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Meal Ticket 8.00 SCRATCH
8 98 Posh Holly (IRE) 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fabozzi 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Wilshire Dude 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Pepe Tono 5.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Impression 2.50 5.3 10-1
9 9 Jan’s Reserve 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Ocean Fury 15.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Bitter Ring Home 12.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Cosa Nostra (IRE) 30.00 8.7 17-1
1 1 Turnaround 30.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 King Eddie 8.00 SCRATCH
11 98 My Sunshine 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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