December 27, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Reiwa | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cassie Belle | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kleen Karma | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Eddie’s Sister | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Scarlet Heat | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | New Heat | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hot On the Trail | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Concise Advice | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pushing Sixty | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | La Gata Elegante | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Exaulted | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Direct Line | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Kingdom | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mastering | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mongol Altai | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Eddie Logan S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cathkin Peak (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beer Can Man | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Fish | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ebeko (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Barrister Tom | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Commander Khai | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Party Game (IRE) | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sky Navigator | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cashlings | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bolu | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alexander’s Dream | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Coastal King | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love My Jimmy | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Santiago’s Wish | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cross Indian | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Armour Plate | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honos Man | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Turn the Switch | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go Time | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Street Behavior | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Palace Prince | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Railsplitter | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Meadway | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Turntheclocktozero | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Leprino | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Octopus | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Natural History | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lolo Paniolo | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prince Ricky | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nonno’s Polaris | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Brix | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jetovator | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Prez | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Master Ryan | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Brownstone | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Caerulean | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zipper Mischief | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dapper | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hit the Seam | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Single Me Out | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foothill | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hockey Dad | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Story | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Frank Da Tank | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hail Freedom | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warrens Candy Man | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Chosen Vron | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whiskey Talk | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rowdy Oh | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Champagne Pegasus | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Williams Dream | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Robert J. Frankel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rideforthecause | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Teheran (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Zee Drop | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Altea (FR) | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Colonial Creed | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Mucho Unusual | 2.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Our Charm | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Never Be Enough (GB) | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Meal Ticket | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 98 | Posh Holly (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fabozzi | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wilshire Dude | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pepe Tono | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Impression | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jan’s Reserve | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ocean Fury | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bitter Ring Home | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cosa Nostra (IRE) | 30.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Turnaround | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | King Eddie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 98 | My Sunshine | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.