Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 26, 2020

December 26, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 I Hear You 1.60 3.5 7-1
1 1 Pseudonym 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 2 Native Lion 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Princesa Blanca 10.00 4.5 9-1
5 4 Artistic Jewler 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Ginny B 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Siamese 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Margie’s Money 4.50 3.9 7-1
8 4 Flash Hands 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 3 Sworn Silence 4.50 4.3 8-1
9 5 Kenai Cool 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 2 Altered Dream 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 La Femme Royale 1.80 SCRATCH
3 3 War Bandit 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Shilah Baby 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Melody Rose 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Carson’s Princess 2.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Katie’s Karat 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Chinatown Nancy 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Carolina Rose 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Masked Mandate 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Bella’s Choice 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Wave of Goodness 12.00 5 10-1
9 8 My Alibi 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Dramatizer 1.80 SCRATCH
10 10 Making Progress 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Speak to Me 1.60 1.3 2-1
9 8 Darling Joanna 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 1 My Girl Sweet 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 2 Ronnie’s Peso 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 G’s Mine 6.00 2.9 6-1
5 4 American Rebel 12.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Glory to Me 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Our Mardi Gras 20.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Froideur 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Jacquelyn d’Oro 5.00 2.2 4-1
8 6 Gathered Flowers 6.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Salvaje 6.00 2.7 5-1
11 9 Pie Killer 4.00 3 6-1
10 8 Euphoric 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Office Party 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 4 Fairchild 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Hoodwink 20.00 6.4 12-1
12 10 Paytonsattheplate 20.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Carribean Caper 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Ryan’s Rocket 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bell Day 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Aunt Joie 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Solar Reflection 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Special Assistant 6.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Tiz for Real 30.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Payster 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Contact Tracing 4.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 Lode of Blarney 3.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Scotty Doesnt Know 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Redoux 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Poppe Hour 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Novgorod the Great 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Saint Goar 12.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Widdle Zee 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Pago Hop S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 9 Evil Lyn 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 In Good Spirits 4.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Disobedient 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Ylikedis 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Pass the Plate 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Drop a Hint 12.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Island Hideaway (GB) 15.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Teenage Kicks 12.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Timeless Rose 12.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Windracer (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 His Glory 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Joseph E. Spanky Broussard Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Beautiful Trauma 1.80 1.7 3-1
5 4 Lady Apple 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Whoa Nellie 1.60 2.4 4-1
6 5 Singita Dreams 12.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Longpants Required 20.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Joy Epifora (ARG) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Woodchopper S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bodecream 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Pixelate 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Spanish Kingdom 8.00 4.8 9-1
13 12 Oak Hill 6.00 5.4 10-1
10 9 Telephone Talker 12.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Doc Boy 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Dynadrive 12.00 6.9 13-1
11 10 Stanford (IRE) 20.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Pit Boss 20.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Top Draw 20.00 8.8 17-1
12 11 Victory Boulevard 20.00 9.9 19-1
9 9 Blackberry Wine 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Jack the Umpire 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Caramel Latte 4.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Dance Away 3.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Star Prado 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Money Well Spent 4.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 For Real Alice 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Kehron’s Creed 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Mandoline Star 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Suckerforagrey 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Balook 10.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Bajan Cash 4.00 2.5 5-1
1A 7 Club Soda 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 4 Ninth Street 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 1 Flash Attack 6.00 3 6-1
7 6 Go for Moonshine 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 Kid Slipper 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Riv 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Kasilof 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Beauty Boy 20.00 6.1 12-1
4 3 Familiar Rhythm 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Joemo 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Looking for Bull 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Take Charge Chase 5.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Social Misfit 3.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 In Charge Halo 10.00 4 8-1
3 3 Confederate Yell 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Randy Paul 15.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Mr. Graceful 12.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Hansen’s Holiday 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Two Date 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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