December 26, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | I Hear You | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pseudonym | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Native Lion | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Princesa Blanca | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Artistic Jewler | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ginny B | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Siamese | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Margie’s Money | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Flash Hands | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Sworn Silence | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Kenai Cool | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Altered Dream | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Femme Royale | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | War Bandit | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Shilah Baby | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Melody Rose | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Carson’s Princess | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Katie’s Karat | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chinatown Nancy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Carolina Rose | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Masked Mandate | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella’s Choice | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wave of Goodness | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | My Alibi | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dramatizer | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Making Progress | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Speak to Me | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Darling Joanna | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | My Girl Sweet | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ronnie’s Peso | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | G’s Mine | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | American Rebel | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Glory to Me | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Our Mardi Gras | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Froideur | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Jacquelyn d’Oro | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gathered Flowers | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Salvaje | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Pie Killer | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Euphoric | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Office Party | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Fairchild | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hoodwink | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Paytonsattheplate | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carribean Caper | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ryan’s Rocket | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bell Day | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Aunt Joie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Solar Reflection | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Special Assistant | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Tiz for Real | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Payster | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Contact Tracing | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lode of Blarney | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scotty Doesnt Know | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Redoux | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Poppe Hour | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Novgorod the Great | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saint Goar | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Widdle Zee | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Pago Hop S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Evil Lyn | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | In Good Spirits | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Disobedient | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ylikedis | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pass the Plate | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Drop a Hint | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Island Hideaway (GB) | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Teenage Kicks | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Timeless Rose | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Windracer (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | His Glory | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Joseph E. Spanky Broussard Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Beautiful Trauma | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lady Apple | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whoa Nellie | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Singita Dreams | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Longpants Required | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joy Epifora (ARG) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Woodchopper S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bodecream | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pixelate | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spanish Kingdom | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Oak Hill | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Telephone Talker | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Doc Boy | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dynadrive | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Stanford (IRE) | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pit Boss | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Top Draw | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Victory Boulevard | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blackberry Wine | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Jack the Umpire | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Caramel Latte | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dance Away | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Star Prado | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Money Well Spent | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | For Real Alice | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kehron’s Creed | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mandoline Star | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Suckerforagrey | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Balook | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bajan Cash | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Club Soda | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ninth Street | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Flash Attack | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Go for Moonshine | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kid Slipper | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Riv | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kasilof | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Beauty Boy | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Familiar Rhythm | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Joemo | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Looking for Bull | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Take Charge Chase | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Social Misfit | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | In Charge Halo | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Confederate Yell | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Randy Paul | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Graceful | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hansen’s Holiday | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Two Date | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.