December 23, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Coworth Park | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ninja Kitten | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hardly Social | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Crystal Coast | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Grey Charlotte | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sweet Felicia | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tami’s Orchid | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wild Walkoff | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Metafora | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Learnt | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Not Tonight Bobby | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Foxtrot Seville | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Beach Chick | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Patronus | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Luci Breeze | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Last Minute Deal | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Money Song | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Commission | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bailey | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Full Send | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Prince Triton | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Young Flint | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Converter | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Political Riot | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Without Passport | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bella Ciao | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elusive Molly | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yes Factor | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baydar | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | High On Gin | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Inedatequila | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cheerleader Barb | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Julie Bird (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Irazu | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Ketchikan | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shakem | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tap Tap Birdie | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Union Park Gal (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Panotti | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Okalani | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Broadway Diva | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | La Pinta | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Time Sensitive | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Baby Lion | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Isla Bonita | 30.00 | 10.8 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Caffeine Rush | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Drynachan | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweetsweetsweet | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Akor | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classy Beast | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shikaka | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yellen | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Queen Abarrio | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Me Mo My | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zip It Jess | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Bionda | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Freezer Burn | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Han Sense | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Brasstown | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Turn On the Magic | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Benefactor | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Skyscanner | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Outshine | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gran Omero (VEN) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Discretionary Marq | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Like What I See | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Earth | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Apache Brave | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Colonel Tom | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oak Bluffs | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gran Malbec | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Marcelino | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mar Vista Miguel | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smoke ‘n’ Gloat | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ohanzee | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Archivero | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fort King | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Abilene Trail | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alizee | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heiressindy | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Recoded | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Global Ambition | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Puppet Master | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sammie Sunshine | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Perspire | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shamrocket | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Freedom Matters | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Point Exactly | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kroy | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Watson | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mony | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gearhead | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mozo Bello | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cerrado | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Totono | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | All Inclusive | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Monte Ne | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | French Reef (IRE) | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Surprise Factor | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wild One Forever | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Nappy | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mister Kelly | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sage Canyon | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Duke | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Weekend Dreamer | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cold Warrior | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Capitan Fofo | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.