December 23, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Iam Dakota | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Strawberry Summer | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blessed Villana | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Why Not Dana | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kathleen’s Day | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Togarock | 3.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Queezer | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Areyouinaband | 2.50 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Here Comes Linda | 4.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | C C Crown’s Choice | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lawsuit Lucy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Rare One | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss Guretta | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Billie K | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Becca’s Whisper | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quick Rae Rae | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dixieland Flash | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Paper Doll | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Priority | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Customs in Dixie | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quiet Trip | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mi Copa Rebosa | 1.80 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Holy Pearls | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holy Song | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Souvenir Channel | 30.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Runpeggyrun | 3.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Splendor Hour | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Girls Rule | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crider Chase | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Causewaycat | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | At Once | 4.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Party With Kassidy | 2.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | A Little Guilty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lady’s Tribute | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Look | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Drax | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Fast Dude | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Charming Bullet | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Data Central | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Racin Rocks | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valiant Defender | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Debonnaire Dude | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | It’suptoyoupal | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Force | 1.80 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Superconductor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Egomaniac | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Clever Prince | 30.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Richards Dream | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Classic Emmett | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Obstructed View | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Traelee | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lightning Harbour | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Duritz | 4.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Leo | 1.80 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Moro Pharoah | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sailing Jett | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Priced Right | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | My Harvey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Expect Ice | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tonights Star | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Opportunity Cost | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Clear the Nile | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mucho Marvin | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Port Hunter | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Saved At Sea | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Applewood | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honor My Speed | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gran Red | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Talkothtown | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Lady Hopper | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Charzee Baby | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sing the Song | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hiclass Production | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diva’s Ransom | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Spring | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunshine Deelite | 1.80 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nineoneoneprayer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Paynt Battle | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shake It | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cheeseburger | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paint I Ain’t | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Calculate | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Wisdom | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Muscadine | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dyess | 3.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Saving Argument | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Oso Negro | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | J C’s in Town | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Destinedtobeastar | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Jacadoodledo | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In Coming J | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zarb’s Pistol | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Desiard | 1.80 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pennies Lil Man | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wendy’s Will | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King Liam | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Last Paycheck | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Elisher | 2.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thirsty Kat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Marvelous Red | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Amandas Lightening | 4.50 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.