Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Monday, December 21, 2020

December 21, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 R W ‘s Retirement 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Miss Jenny’s Halo 10.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Sound of the Sea 10.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Too Tuff to Cry 20.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Robber 20.00 8.7 17-1
8 8 Steve’s Vision 30.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Ide B Stranded 20.00 9 17-1
3 3 He’s a Believer 2.50 9.6 18-1
11 11 Richards Dream 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Classy’s Fast Roy 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Tencentsuperhoop 15.00 10.5 20-1
1 1 Custom Kat 4.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Bushido Samurai 6.00 1.7 3-1
8 6 Canyon Fire 15.00 1.9 4-1
7 5 Southpine Gift 1.80 3.8 7-1
6 4 King Zippy 4.50 4 8-1
1 1 Guilty Again 8.00 6.7 13-1
5 3 Sunnyonastormyday 3.50 7.2 14-1
2 2 Big Cane 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Ten Brownies 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Harriet’s Dream 4.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Thirstyprospect 12.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Clearly Sailing 3.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Track Smart 8.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Theboyztap 20.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Midnight Trip 8.00 2 4-1
1 1 Building Home 20.00 2 4-1
7 7 Maggie’s Return 10.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Annie Sullivan 15.00 9.5 18-1
6 6 Louisiana’s Hope 20.00 9.7 18-1
11 11 Alhambra Palace 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Inawic 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Gentrified 6.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Buxterhooter 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Broadway Ice 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Reddy to Bet 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Blended Lute 15.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Tabia 1.80 5.1 10-1
3 3 Halfmoon Reef 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Masterly 10.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Stormy Sunrise 15.00 1.6 3-1
10 9 Armed Missile 15.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Ronda Rae 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Prospect Crissi 12.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 K One Comet 30.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Cabeza de Tortuga 2.50 9.1 17-1
3 3 Be a Bandit 15.00 9.1 17-1
6 6 Sofia Kape 30.00 9.6 18-1
9 9 River Rain 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Tornado Ellie 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Racelynn 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 La Jazz 4.50 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ashley Astray 12.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Miami Rose 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Angelic Kriss 20.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Oleta Inez 20.00 3.8 7-1
9 8 Carletta 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Perfect Justice 15.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Wish for Interest 20.00 4.2 8-1
10 9 Jerry’s Legacy 5.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Joy to the World 2.50 9.8 18-1
6 6 Correct Answer 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mamma Says 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 She’s the Boss 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Trivista 15.00 1.8 3-1
7 6 Guitarzan 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Gold Buyer 10.00 4 8-1
4 3 Cantrell Hill 3.00 5 9-1
6 5 Vice Versa 1.80 5.9 11-1
5 4 Jack Be Quick 8.00 6.3 12-1
8 7 Bitumen 4.50 6.7 13-1
2 2 Outofthisgalaxy 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 All Fore Kicks 30.00 2 4-1
3 3 Angel Cat 20.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Miss Neko 2.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Vicky Apple 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Weneedtotalk 4.50 5.6 11-1
4 4 Zao’s Dreams 4.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Harlans Warrior 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Amelia Madelyn 10.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Laneys Love 8.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Love and Lemons 6.00 8.7 17-1
11 11 Quick Rae Rae 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Valid Break 20.00 1.8 3-1
7 6 Lumberjack Empire 20.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 La Gata Mala 8.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Clever Music 15.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Little Brown Eyes 20.00 8.7 16-1
9 8 Dynamic Julie 6.00 8.7 17-1
8 7 Chicken Or the Egg 3.50 9.1 17-1
5 5 Charlie Roads 12.00 9.3 18-1
10 9 Cabo Sunset 12.00 9.7 18-1
6 6 Madelyn’s Moment 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Aquaholic 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Lawsuit Lucy 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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