December 20, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Teetotaler | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Home for Christmas | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Cara | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sassy Melissa | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quiet Type | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rosies Surprise | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stormi Cat Lady | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pink Gin | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gallina | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flirtacious Kiss | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Caramocha | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Secret Love | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Rossa Veloce | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Infringement | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Miss Comedian | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frost Me | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Irish Constitution | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Madera | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Violent Point | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gilda Marie | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dial Me Up | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charlotte Webley | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jasminesque | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quasar | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Trapped N My Mind | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mani Pedi | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madam Maclean | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nepotism | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rugged Union | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bird Ruler | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Overtook | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Repo Rocks | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gwaun River Valley | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ask Neal | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ohyoudidntknow | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flex | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | A Bridge too Far | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Make Or Break | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Pao | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Kitten’s Romance | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Lumberjane | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Dawn | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hayezhee | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love Me Tomorrow | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jackie Milton | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stretchthestory | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gringotts | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Alexacrat | 50.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Elevator Shaft | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | R Working Girl | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cause to Dream | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Maracuja | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Read It | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | One Glamorous Gal | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Despeight All Odds | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Absolute Privilege | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Delicious | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lutescoot N Boogie | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Someday Jones | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Per Capita | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roaming Union | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Limonite | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kumar | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zoomer | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Malthael | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rift Valley | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King Angelo | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Neuro | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Not Phar Now | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ernie Banker | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Black Irish | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Me ‘n Sap | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Piper | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whichwaytomalibu | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wicked Karma | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | True Palace | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Luna’s in Charge | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Raven Rocks | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Notorious Flirt | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jemography | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Farragut | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bulwark | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Leap to Glory | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bustin Timberlake | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Roll With My Posse | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Possetizzly | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Beach Front | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Money in the Bank | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ryan’s Cat | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Light the Posse | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Truebelieve | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Cause of Action | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 12 | Dr. Devera’s Way | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Thorny Tale | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Fried Rice King | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tapizearance | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Looking At Liberty | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Economic Policy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Bend in the River | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Rockin Jo | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Scoreswhenhewants | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Latin Love Bug | 30.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.