Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 20, 2020

December 20, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Teetotaler 2.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Home for Christmas 4.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Chasing Cara 1.80 2.3 4-1
9 9 Sassy Melissa 10.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Quiet Type 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Rosies Surprise 15.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Stormi Cat Lady 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Pink Gin 20.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Gallina 30.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Flirtacious Kiss 50.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Caramocha 4.50 2 4-1
4 2 Secret Love 4.00 2 4-1
6 4 Rossa Veloce 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 3 Infringement 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 1 Miss Comedian 20.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Frost Me 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Irish Constitution 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Madera 4.00 2.1 4-1
9 8 Violent Point 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Gilda Marie 5.00 3.2 6-1
10 9 Dial Me Up 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Charlotte Webley 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Jasminesque 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Quasar 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Trapped N My Mind 15.00 5 9-1
5 4 Mani Pedi 30.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Madam Maclean 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Nepotism 3.00 1.3 3-1
9 9 Rugged Union 5.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Bird Ruler 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Overtook 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Repo Rocks 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Gwaun River Valley 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Ask Neal 15.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Ohyoudidntknow 20.00 5 9-1
5 5 Flex 30.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 A Bridge too Far 3.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Make Or Break 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Princess Pao 5.00 3.1 6-1
12 12 Kitten’s Romance 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 She’s a Lumberjane 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 First Dawn 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Hayezhee 20.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Love Me Tomorrow 15.00 5 9-1
2 2 Jackie Milton 20.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Stretchthestory 20.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Gringotts 30.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Alexacrat 50.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Elevator Shaft 3.50 1.6 3-1
8 7 R Working Girl 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Cause to Dream 50.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Maracuja 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Just Read It 8.00 2.6 5-1
9 8 One Glamorous Gal 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 3 Despeight All Odds 10.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Absolute Privilege 20.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 My Delicious 10.00 3.9 7-1
10 9 Lutescoot N Boogie 6.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Someday Jones 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Per Capita 1.80 2.3 4-1
5 5 Roaming Union 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Limonite 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Kumar 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Zoomer 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Malthael 15.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rift Valley 2.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 King Angelo 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Neuro 4.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Not Phar Now 4.50 3.1 6-1
11 11 Ernie Banker 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Black Irish 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Me ‘n Sap 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 American Piper 20.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Whichwaytomalibu 20.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Wicked Karma 30.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 True Palace 30.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Luna’s in Charge 2.50 2.4 5-1
4 3 Raven Rocks 4.50 2.8 5-1
10 9 Notorious Flirt 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Jemography 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Farragut 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 1 Bulwark 10.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Leap to Glory 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Bustin Timberlake 15.00 6.1 12-1
7 6 Roll With My Posse 30.00 8 15-1
1 1 Possetizzly 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Beach Front 8.00 4.3 8-1
12 9 Money in the Bank 6.00 5 10-1
6 4 Ryan’s Cat 8.00 5.4 10-1
14 11 Light the Posse 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 1 Truebelieve 12.00 5.9 11-1
10 7 Cause of Action 12.00 6.4 12-1
15 12 Dr. Devera’s Way 10.00 6.8 13-1
13 10 Thorny Tale 10.00 6.9 13-1
11 8 Fried Rice King 20.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Tapizearance 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Looking At Liberty 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Economic Policy 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Bend in the River 12.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Rockin Jo 30.00 12.3 23-1
3 2 Scoreswhenhewants 30.00 12.6 24-1
9 6 Latin Love Bug 30.00 12.8 24-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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