Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 19, 2020

December 19, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tyreek 12.00 0.8 1-1
1 1 Galilean Moon 5.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Magical Marriage 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Magic Mule 10.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Peachy Keen 3.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Ratify 2.50 6.5 12-1
5 5 Reticent 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Miss Chloe G 30.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Bath And Tennis (IRE) 15.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Mortal Storm 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Le Weekend 1.60 5 9-1
2 2 Tarawa 2.50 5.4 10-1
1 1 Foggy Dreams 2.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Zoinks Scooby 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Helms Deep 2.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Trial Balance 20.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 You Are Awesome 1.80 1.6 3-1
7 7 Tom’s Choice 12.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Manklin Creek 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Moonzano 12.00 2.2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gottaway 4.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Runner Runner Indy 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Two Doors Down 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Mr. Maurice 15.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Stand My Ground 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Crescent Warrior 15.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Forefront 20.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Rockin Ron 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Marylander 8.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Baptize the Boy 3.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Girls Love Me 4.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Nomo Ron 1.80 1.8 3-1
2 2 Amatteroftime 15.00 2 4-1
5 5 Threethehardway 20.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Fast Master 12.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Flat Out Flying 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Charm City Band 8.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Nautical Nature 4.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Mice and Men 10.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Redeem Eddie 2.50 1.9 4-1
9 9 Mosby’s Ranger 30.00 2 4-1
1 1 Tom Terrific 20.00 2 4-1
4 4 Whiskey and You 12.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Seven On the Rocks 8.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Tommy Shelby 12.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Odds On 3.50 2.6 5-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Krubera 15.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Wonderwall 3.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Flyin It 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Sheriff’s Kid 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Magic Election 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Mikey’s Jewel 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Mosler’s Image 15.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Nicolar 8.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Fillmore East 12.00 2.6 5-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Stroll Smokin 3.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Xy Speed 12.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Karan’s Notion 1.80 1.7 3-1
8 8 W W Springtime 10.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 The Cairo Kid 8.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Reform School 8.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Frank’sgunisloaded 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Carey Times 10.00 2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Awesome Pal 10.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Ski Bunny 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Always a Queen 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Tequila Fog 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 One Last Trial 6.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Isabellaalexa 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Fairy Wish 15.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Strella’s War 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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