Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 19, 2020

December 19, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Proxy 1.40 1.8 3-1
2 2 Hendrick 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Assumption 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 Good First 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Night Things 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Double Barrel Man 3.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Charge the Line 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 War Count 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 My Wise Cat 4.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Hooray Austin 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Cabo’s Rumor 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Bending Saint 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Zelig 4.50 4.9 9-1
4 4 Bootsie’s Galaxy 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Drewcitable 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fulsome 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Wentru 4.50 3.6 7-1
12 12 Hidden Enemy (IRE) 3.50 4.1 8-1
11 11 Hold Tight 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Kobla Mas 8.00 4.3 8-1
13 13 Freddy Flintshire 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Prairie 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Committed 10.00 5 10-1
10 10 Palazzi 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Emerald Forest 15.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Cees Get Degrees 15.00 6.9 13-1
14 14 Loring Park 20.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Awesummer 20.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 K Rules 30.00 9.5 18-1
15 15 Master of the Ring 5.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Big Lake 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Letellier Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mariah’s Princess 2.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Double Whopper 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Joy’s Rocket 1.20 2.7 5-1
4 4 Charlie’s Penny 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Seguro 20.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Moon Swag 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Sariah Sariah 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Space Mountain 4.50 3.9 7-1
3 2 Silver N Lai 6.00 4 8-1
13 11 Bond Street (IRE) 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Honovi 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 On a Spree 5.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Fred’stwirlincandy 12.00 5.7 11-1
15 12 Deviant 12.00 6 11-1
12 10 Botswana 12.00 6.1 11-1
11 9 Singapore Flash 10.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Gunnison 12.00 6.2 12-1
6 5 Two Emmys 12.00 6.3 12-1
4 3 Merlin’s Song 20.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Madison’s Luna 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Vettori Kin (BRZ) 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Fly the W 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Sugar Bowl S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gagetown 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Quick Tempo 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Twilight Blue 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Tate 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Warlock Doc 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Sermononthemount 12.00 5 9-1
7 7 Crime Spree 12.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Richard R. Scherer Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Lookin to Strike 10.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Just Might 5.00 3.3 6-1
10 8 Fast Boat 4.50 3.4 6-1
2 1 Guildsman (FR) 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 6 Embolden 15.00 3.6 7-1
11 9 Tell Your Daddy 20.00 3.8 7-1
4 3 Hollis 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Archidust 3.50 4.1 8-1
9 7 Real News 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 McFeely 50.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Nitrous 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Anoush 4.50 2.1 4-1
12 10 Zoom Up 4.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Sister Luck 6.00 2.4 5-1
8 7 Symptom 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Pauline’s Pearl 4.00 2.8 5-1
9 8 Suki 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 That’s a Giant No 12.00 5.9 11-1
10 9 Reminiscent 20.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Della Frost 20.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 My Tommy Lee 20.00 8.8 17-1
7 7 Bold Confection 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Effloresce 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Euphoric 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Paytonsattheplate 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Buddy Diliberto Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 9 Spectacular Gem 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 2 Dot Matrix 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Cross Border 3.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Sailing Solo 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Logical Myth 15.00 4 8-1
10 8 Tenfold 12.00 4 8-1
6 5 Argentello (IRE) 15.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Henley’s Joy 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 McFeely 50.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Captivating Moon 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Militiaman 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 9 Regular Guy 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 5 Gun Lap 6.00 2.4 5-1
3 2 Tiwanaku 5.00 2.9 5-1
4 3 Big Easy Empire 6.00 3 6-1
9 7 Ghostliner 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Beniah 10.00 4.1 8-1
10 8 Afwan 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 1 Copa 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 6 Flags Up 20.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Cash Rocket 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Cool Rags 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Blushing K. D. S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Quick Witted 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Secret Message 2.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Dalika (GER) 3.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Temple City Terror 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Strike My Fancy 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Kuora (PER) 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Curlin’s Journey 15.00 7 13-1
7 7 Elle M’a Souri (FR) 15.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Aife 20.00 8.1 15-1
11 10 Valentines Day 20.00 8.7 16-1
10 10 Russian Mafia 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Beautiful Trauma 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Prate 6.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Sharp Rocket 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Blameworthy 4.00 2.3 4-1
11 11 Grendel 5.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Windcracker 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Military Bearing 8.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Masqueparade 8.00 3.3 6-1
12 12 Rockdale 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Frosted Over 15.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Goldenite 12.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 River’s Raging 30.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Happy American 30.00 9.3 18-1
13 13 Aeronaut 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 O Besos 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Tenacious S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sonneman 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Maxfield 1.60 2.2 4-1
3 3 Captivating Moon 4.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Locally Owned 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Mocito Rojo 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Cool Bobby 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Dinar 12.00 4.3 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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