December 19, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 3 | Proxy | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
2 | 2 | Hendrick | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Assumption | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
5 | 4 | Good First | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Night Things | 2.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Double Barrel Man | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Charge the Line | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | War Count | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | My Wise Cat | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
10 | 10 | Hooray Austin | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
8 | 8 | Cabo’s Rumor | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Bending Saint | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
9 | 9 | Zelig | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Bootsie’s Galaxy | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
3 | 3 | Drewcitable | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Fulsome | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
5 | 5 | Wentru | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
12 | 12 | Hidden Enemy (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
11 | 11 | Hold Tight | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Kobla Mas | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
13 | 13 | Freddy Flintshire | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Prairie | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
8 | 8 | Committed | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
10 | 10 | Palazzi | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Emerald Forest | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
6 | 6 | Cees Get Degrees | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
14 | 14 | Loring Park | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
9 | 9 | Awesummer | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
2 | 2 | K Rules | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
15 | 15 | Master of the Ring | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
16 | 16 | Big Lake | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Letellier Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Mariah’s Princess | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Double Whopper | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Joy’s Rocket | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Charlie’s Penny | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Seguro | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Moon Swag | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Sariah Sariah | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 8 | Space Mountain | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
3 | 2 | Silver N Lai | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
13 | 11 | Bond Street (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
5 | 4 | Honovi | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | On a Spree | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
8 | 7 | Fred’stwirlincandy | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
15 | 12 | Deviant | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
12 | 10 | Botswana | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
11 | 9 | Singapore Flash | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Gunnison | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
6 | 5 | Two Emmys | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
4 | 3 | Merlin’s Song | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
2 | 2 | Madison’s Luna | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Vettori Kin (BRZ) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Fly the W | 30.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Sugar Bowl S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Gagetown | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Quick Tempo | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Twilight Blue | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Tate | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Warlock Doc | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Sermononthemount | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Crime Spree | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Richard R. Scherer Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 2 | Lookin to Strike | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
6 | 5 | Just Might | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
10 | 8 | Fast Boat | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
2 | 1 | Guildsman (FR) | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
8 | 6 | Embolden | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
11 | 9 | Tell Your Daddy | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
4 | 3 | Hollis | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Archidust | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
9 | 7 | Real News | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | McFeely | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Nitrous | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Anoush | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
12 | 10 | Zoom Up | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Sister Luck | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
8 | 7 | Symptom | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Pauline’s Pearl | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
9 | 8 | Suki | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | That’s a Giant No | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
10 | 9 | Reminiscent | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
1 | 1 | Della Frost | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
6 | 6 | My Tommy Lee | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
7 | 7 | Bold Confection | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Effloresce | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Euphoric | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Paytonsattheplate | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Buddy Diliberto Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 9 | Spectacular Gem | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
3 | 2 | Dot Matrix | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
4 | 3 | Cross Border | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
5 | 4 | Sailing Solo | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Logical Myth | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
10 | 8 | Tenfold | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
6 | 5 | Argentello (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | Henley’s Joy | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
8 | 7 | McFeely | 50.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
2 | 2 | Captivating Moon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Militiaman | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 9 | Regular Guy | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
6 | 5 | Gun Lap | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
3 | 2 | Tiwanaku | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
4 | 3 | Big Easy Empire | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
9 | 7 | Ghostliner | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Beniah | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
10 | 8 | Afwan | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
2 | 1 | Copa | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
8 | 6 | Flags Up | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Cash Rocket | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Cool Rags | 4.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Blushing K. D. S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Quick Witted | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
8 | 8 | Secret Message | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Dalika (GER) | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Temple City Terror | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
4 | 4 | Strike My Fancy | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
6 | 6 | Kuora (PER) | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
5 | 5 | Curlin’s Journey | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
7 | 7 | Elle M’a Souri (FR) | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
9 | 9 | Aife | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
11 | 10 | Valentines Day | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
10 | 10 | Russian Mafia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Beautiful Trauma | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Prate | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
1 | 1 | Sharp Rocket | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
4 | 4 | Blameworthy | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
11 | 11 | Grendel | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
8 | 8 | Windcracker | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
6 | 6 | Military Bearing | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Masqueparade | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
12 | 12 | Rockdale | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Frosted Over | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
10 | 10 | Goldenite | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | River’s Raging | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
7 | 7 | Happy American | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
13 | 13 | Aeronaut | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | O Besos | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Tenacious S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Sonneman | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Maxfield | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Captivating Moon | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Locally Owned | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Mocito Rojo | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Cool Bobby | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Dinar | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.