Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 19, 2020

December 19, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Strings Attached 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Back Channel 0.40 2.2 4-1
5 4 Risk Model 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 3 Icanceeclearlynow 12.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Rapido Gatta 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Misspotofgold 30.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Capraia’s Destiny 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Vallarand 5.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Big Tony’s Girl 6.00 1.9 3-1
7 7 Get the Candy 4.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Pleasure Luck 8.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Destinationwnrscir 8.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Blame It On Mary 2.50 3.5 7-1
10 9 Shesadirtydancer 8.00 4 8-1
9 8 What Mightavebeen 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Early Edition 30.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Pink Gin 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Sirenic 3.50 1.9 4-1
7 6 Halama 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Invaluable 1.60 2.6 5-1
5 4 Miss Charisma 10.00 4.1 8-1
10 9 Dashi 12.00 4.7 9-1
9 8 Fair Lassie 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Behind the Couch 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Quietude 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Sky Kitten 30.00 8.2 16-1
3 3 Princess Corey 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Forever Changed 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 2 Cathy Naz 5.00 3 6-1
5 4 Miss Jimmy 2.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Screamin’ By 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Awesome Debate 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 3 New Girl in Town 8.00 4 8-1
8 7 Ok Honey 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Beaux Arts 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Inspiration Point 2.00 1.4 3-1
9 7 Momza 3.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Too Boss 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 By George 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Core 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Moonshiningbright 20.00 6 11-1
8 6 Motion to Strike 20.00 7 13-1
6 6 Quick Intro 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bird Ruler 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cost Basis 4.00 1.5 3-1
3A 3 Chateau 4.50 3.5 7-1
8A 7 Clench 4.50 3.7 7-1
7 6 Montauk Traffic 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Mad Munnys 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Home Run Maker 10.00 5 10-1
11 9 Vici 12.00 5.1 10-1
13 10 Inter Miami 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 5 Mo Gotcha 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Mi Tres Por Ciento (CHI) 20.00 8 15-1
4 4 Big Money Mike 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Happy Farm 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Zoomer 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Vineyard Sound 2.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Fox Red 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 Square Shooter 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Shamrocked 4.00 4 7-1
11 10 Honorable Service 10.00 4.1 8-1
10 9 The Queens Jules 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 Manifest Destiny 12.00 4.5 9-1
3 2 Preamble 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Control Stake 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 Kampai 30.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Batterbatterswing 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Bankers Daughter 4.50 3.1 6-1
11 10 Eloquent Speaker 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 4 Honey Money 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Snicket 4.50 3.9 7-1
10 9 Ruvies in Time 10.00 4 8-1
4 3 Lune Lake 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Flush 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Kinky Sox 20.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Anydayisherday 30.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Steal My Heart 30.00 8.3 16-1
12 11 Investment Invite 30.00 9.3 18-1
3 3 New York Rock Star 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Queens County S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mirinaque (ARG) 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Musical Heart 1.80 2 4-1
4 4 Backsideofthemoon 1.60 2.7 5-1
3 3 Empty Tomb 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Danny California 15.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 So High (GB) 50.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Forewarned 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 The Caretaker 3.00 3.1 6-1
5B 5 Dark Money 3.50 3.6 7-1
11 11 Durkin’s Call 8.00 4 8-1
3A 3 Gio d’Oro 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Just Right 6.00 4.1 8-1
7A 7 Daddy Knows 6.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Seven Lilies 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Vicar’s Legend 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Mr. Pete 15.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Hit It Once More 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Almendro 15.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Kosciuszko 20.00 7.5 14-1
13 13 Outrageous Bet 30.00 SCRATCH
14B 14 I Love Jaxson 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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