December 19, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Strings Attached | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Back Channel | 0.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Risk Model | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Icanceeclearlynow | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rapido Gatta | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Misspotofgold | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Capraia’s Destiny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Vallarand | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Tony’s Girl | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Get the Candy | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pleasure Luck | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Destinationwnrscir | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blame It On Mary | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Shesadirtydancer | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | What Mightavebeen | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Early Edition | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pink Gin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Sirenic | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Halama | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Invaluable | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Charisma | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dashi | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fair Lassie | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Behind the Couch | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quietude | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sky Kitten | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Corey | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Forever Changed | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cathy Naz | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Jimmy | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Screamin’ By | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Awesome Debate | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | New Girl in Town | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ok Honey | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beaux Arts | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Inspiration Point | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Momza | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Too Boss | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | By George | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Core | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moonshiningbright | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Motion to Strike | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quick Intro | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bird Ruler | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cost Basis | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Chateau | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Clench | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Montauk Traffic | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mad Munnys | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Home Run Maker | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Vici | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Inter Miami | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mo Gotcha | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mi Tres Por Ciento (CHI) | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Money Mike | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Happy Farm | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Zoomer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Vineyard Sound | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fox Red | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Square Shooter | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shamrocked | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Honorable Service | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | The Queens Jules | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Manifest Destiny | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Preamble | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Control Stake | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kampai | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Batterbatterswing | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Bankers Daughter | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Eloquent Speaker | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Honey Money | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Snicket | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ruvies in Time | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lune Lake | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Flush | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kinky Sox | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anydayisherday | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steal My Heart | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Investment Invite | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | New York Rock Star | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Queens County S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mirinaque (ARG) | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Musical Heart | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Backsideofthemoon | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Empty Tomb | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Danny California | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | So High (GB) | 50.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forewarned | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | The Caretaker | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5B | 5 | Dark Money | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Durkin’s Call | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Gio d’Oro | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Right | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Daddy Knows | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seven Lilies | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vicar’s Legend | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Pete | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hit It Once More | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Almendro | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kosciuszko | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Outrageous Bet | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14B | 14 | I Love Jaxson | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.