Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 18, 2020

December 18, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bodes Sunset 15.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Award Wanted 3.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Lookin for Candy 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Vics Cool Cat 2.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Toma 4.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Villamoura 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Leave ‘Em Loaded 20.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Stretch the Truth 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Orientated 4.50 5.5 10-1
4 4 Hemp 3.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Swing Your Sword 3.50 5.7 11-1
3 3 Wicked Prankster 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Dr. Ferber 2.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sunday in L B C 3.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Lady Macho 2.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Iam a Dancer 8.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Embrace a New Day 1.80 1.6 3-1
7 7 Why Not You 6.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Rapidashqueen 15.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Ocean Delight 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Super Dancer 4.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Working Title 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Gentleman Joe 2.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Crouchelli 6.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Closer Look 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Sassy King 20.00 1.9 4-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ticker Tape Parade 10.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 The Italian 20.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Wolfinbarger 6.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Glengar 1.80 1.7 3-1
5 5 Jack Straight 2.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Smokin Hot Factor 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Americano 15.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Wild About Deb 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kukulkan 6.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Make Us Smile 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Cheat ‘Em Charlie 8.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Distant Thunder 12.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Royal Trumpet 30.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 More Twirl 1.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Baltimore Bud 15.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Maximo Strong 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rip Rap Riley 12.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Nova Boy 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Drill’s Li’l Man 2.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Ballivor 8.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Revolutionary Road 8.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Futile 15.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Lawn Boy (GB) 6.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Kingston Pike 6.00 2.2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Decoupage 4.50 1.1 2-1
10 10 Trunk of Money 4.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Conjecture 5.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Kiss the Girl 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Lawn Dart 20.00 2 4-1
1 1 Fille d’Esprit 3.50 2 4-1
6 6 Fifteen Royals 8.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Purrageous Dyna 15.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 My Lovely Girl 20.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Doctorsofmischief 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Voodoo Valley 20.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Itgot Grandma 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 It’s Fate 12.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Whirlin Curlin 2.50 1.7 3-1
10 10 Rumson Rally 10.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Moonlight Shadow 4.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Gotham News 4.50 2 4-1
3 3 Uhwarrie Sky 12.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Linda’s Nekia 20.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Sebray 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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