December 18, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shakin Silver | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | G Don’t Know | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ima Sunny Song | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Abacus On Tap | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go Ortego Go | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grey Sloan | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bestbangforyabuck | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mista Valentine | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Railman | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Curlington | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sandbagger Al | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Have a Plan | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Day Trip | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jurisdiction | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sournois | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ekaterinoslav | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Good Clean Fun | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hashtag Speed | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Matt’s Honey | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | N. D. Free | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yes I’m Evil | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Slick Chick | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angelina’s Heaven | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Matapan | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elevententeetime | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glance | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Desha | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quinn Murphy | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ruby Sioux | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bonita Springs | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Fetching Fury | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Brookside | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Moira | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | All Fact | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | As Fast as You Can | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Havinfunyet | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sundereya | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Little Snip | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sweet Carolina | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Loving Lucky | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Rightandjust | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cody’s Legacy | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smokey Harbor | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Directional | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Poirier | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fieldstone | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Harrison’s Rose | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Olympic Champion | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Birthday Party | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Action Seeker | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 6 | Im a Cowboy Too | 1.40 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Payday Too | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Make Me Smile | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Imindycatbirdseat | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stuck in Vegas | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trevilion | 1.40 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Greeley Went West | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Four Sevens | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Whatdatpay Ray | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pursuit of a Dream | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Luckenbacher | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Bisou | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Divine Comedy | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carbis Bay | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Empress Catherine | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Total Malice | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Take Charge Lorin | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prominently | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taptime | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brest Fortress | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sun Path | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Montpelier | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Rock Star Parking | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Izeonpoint | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Samurai | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Gladys | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Social Dilemma | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Daddymademedoit | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peter’s Kitten | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 12 | Tipsy Gal | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Fate Factor | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | More Good Times | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Broadway Lady | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Veruca | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Flashing Red | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Zero to Sixty | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Audrey’s Time | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go for Mo | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lemon Chill | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Take Charge | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Elle M’a Souri (FR) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | I Hear You | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Shackleford County | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Enforceable | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chess Chief | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spa City | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Plus Que Parfait | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cowboy Diplomacy | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Beautiful Wall | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Harvey Wallbanger | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.