Sports from the Basement

Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 17, 2020

December 17, 2020 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Incredible Luck 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Write Me a Song 2.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Magic Mosco 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Hot Socks 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Tyler’s Tek 4.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Hey Sequoia 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Tequila Blanco 12.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 Remembertobreathe 20.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Devil’s Teeth 20.00 8.7 16-1
10 9 Muhney Line 30.00 9.2 17-1
8 98 Ronton 0.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Unstoppable Guy 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Stylish in Red 2.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Ya Beauty (GB) 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 She Loves Karaoke 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Queen Stormborn 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Mojo Mama 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Carelesswitdatruth 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 A J Rock 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Wild Arch 10.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Please Me 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Torquay 12.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Kiss of Congrats 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bandon Colleen 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cojo 3.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Big Discount 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Lil Ricardo 6.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Brananx 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Just a Command 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Catbernay 8.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Fleet Roy 10.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Royal Dude 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Mancuso At the Mic 30.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 The Henrietta 30.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Chief Jackson 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Stone’s River 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Apache Pass 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Well Done Sally 3.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Real Good Deal 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Ever Vigilant 5.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Billy K 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Glitter Gulch 10.00 5 9-1
8 8 Deltary 4.00 5 9-1
6 6 Charming Life 20.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Brite Tan 30.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Goddess Aphrodite 30.00 9.4 18-1
11 11 Dairy Kid 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Pasito 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Purdue 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Tiger Mom 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Brilliant Bird 3.50 4 7-1
4 4 Cioppino Pasadino 8.00 4.7 9-1
11 10 Just Classy 4.50 5.3 10-1
5 5 Give Me a Hint 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Hit It Twice 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Lady Chrome 15.00 6.2 12-1
10 9 Come On Kat 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 7 Luv Is All U Need 30.00 8.2 16-1
7 98 Sugaratsundown 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Fabozzi 3.50 4.4 8-1
10 10 Implicitly 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Buster Douglas (BRZ) 5.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Sizzling Jamie 8.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 R Cha Cha 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Black Storm 4.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Most Determined 12.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Debt Monger 8.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Lifeline 10.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 More Honor 20.00 9.9 19-1
11 11 Aotearoa 8.00 SCRATCH
12 98 Hydrogen 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Info’s Treasure 4.00 2.8 5-1
11 9 Red Bunting (IRE) 4.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Bella Figura (IRE) 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 2 Lucky Stepper 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Realrealgood 6.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 Heart River 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Kayda 12.00 6.6 13-1
5 4 Wine At Sunset 15.00 7.5 14-1
4 3 Sapphire Silk 20.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Unchain Her Heart 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Reds Tribal Heart 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Blackout (FR) 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Mr. Lovejoy 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Sequentially 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Oil Can Knight 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Sweet River Baines 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Flip the Coin Jan 8.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Captain Scotty 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Coco’s Joy 2.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Squared Shady 1.60 2.8 5-1
4 4 Sircat Nelly 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Swift Nonni 10.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Ten the Smart Way 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Always for Money 10.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Zu Zu Flynn 12.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Amazen Grazen 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Chieftess Aine 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Jeanne B 20.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Military Princess 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Complete Control 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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