Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 17, 2020

December 17, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Yeyetzi 15.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Caprichosa 20.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Awesome Butterfly 12.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Warrior’s Blade 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Lady Magnolia 2.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Sand in My Shoes 3.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Top Hat Boss 2.50 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Greek Prince 15.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Seattle Ric 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Ludicrous Mode 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Five Card Draw 4.00 5 10-1
3 3 Feature Act 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Instigated 1.60 5.8 11-1
2 2 Ghost On a Mission 3.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Infinity 20.00 1.3 3-1
8 8 Justacallaway 15.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Bourbon Agogo 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Stephanopoulos 4.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Boston Billy 10.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Hinting 3.00 2 4-1
7 7 Nicky Bear 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Yes Means No 3.50 2.1 4-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Padrino’s Heart 15.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Nottoway 1.60 1.2 2-1
1 1 No More Talk 3.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Jovis 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Hard Fought 8.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Dial Operator 5.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Jammer 30.00 2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 6 Boston Light 3.00 1.1 2-1
1A 7 Jamminwithbrandon 3.00 1.3 2-1
4 3 Lectric Choke 5.00 1.4 3-1
3 2 Audacious Quality 15.00 2 4-1
6 5 Walk Away Joe 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 Doobiedoobiedoobie 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 1 Coral Legacy 20.00 2.3 4-1
7 8 Pitching Ari 2.00 2.3 4-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Golden Moon Shine 10.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 Daily Vow 3.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Lady Quintessa 5.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Aunt Mary 12.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 R Awesome Rose 30.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Awfully Foxy 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Lookin Back 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Diggin for Dough 20.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Quickstrike 3.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Cue the Band 15.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Bob’s Lady 20.00 2.7 5-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Love in Her Eyes 8.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Fraudulent Charge 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Mit Mazel 8.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Mischiefs Model 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Guns Blazing 4.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Champagne Toast 10.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Zeyaraat 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Betcha by Golly 12.00 2.1 4-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Patriotic Punch 6.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Halfinthewrapper 4.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Bound for Broadway 30.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Queen of Tomorrow 4.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Judi Blue Eyes 12.00 2 4-1
8 8 Naughty Thoughts 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Combat Queen 8.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Paisley Singing 15.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Quiet Imagination 4.00 2.6 5-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cornetta’s Choice 4.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Lady Fox 1.60 1.5 3-1
4 4 Good Tempered 20.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Walk It Out Nanny 8.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Abilify 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Time Travel 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Carrot Cake 15.00 1.9 4-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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