Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 17, 2020

December 17, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Peachy Queen 2.00 2 4-1
5 4 Bourma 8.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Lady Jae 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Pretty Rachel 3.00 3 6-1
8 7 One Night Stand 12.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Lady Tapatia 15.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 We Bless Luck 30.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Never My Love 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gasparilla Blast 3.50 2.4 5-1
5 4 Words of Devine 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Sammy’s Town 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Domineer 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Reggae Revolution 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Clever Tale 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shoug 1.80 1.7 3-1
7 7 Princess Coro 1.60 2 4-1
8 8 Drawntomunny 4.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Sassy Cat 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Emperor’s Song 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Imhavinaverygooday 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 McAllens Music 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Princess Merida 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Patty H 1.40 1.5 3-1
6 4 Exact 2.00 2 4-1
4 2 Snackster 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 3 Air Cavalry 12.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Frosted Mistress 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Izshefrosted 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Kathern’s Joy 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Ghostlyprince 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Champion Up 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Congrats Again 6.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Golovkin 2.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Andres Eduardo 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Raulito 15.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Sweeney’s Cat 30.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Trinni Summer 30.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Papa’s Little Girl 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Bimini 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Dizzy 4.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Tiz Enough 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Captivant 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Princess Betty 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Carismatica 15.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Arham 2.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Catch On Emotional 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Egyptologist 4.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Mutakaamil 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Magic Eclipse 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Tonalism 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Unprecedented 4.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Coop Tries Harder 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Bad Beat Brian 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Big Drink of Water 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Pagliacci 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Allegedly Perfect 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Kobe Fifty Two 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Fixed Point 20.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Tenacity Zip 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Prince of Arabia 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Morning Stride 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Yamato 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Queens Empire (IRE) 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Notsosubtle 8.00 3.6 7-1
10 9 Cowboy’s Hero 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Starship Aramis 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Can’t Trump Kitten 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Son of Oahu 30.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Create Again 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lets Play Hardball 2.00 2.2 4-1
8 7 Rags for Britches 5.00 2.8 5-1
9 8 Quasar Moon 8.00 3 6-1
11 10 Saint Larned 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Superhighway 4.00 3.6 7-1
10 9 Tons of Gold 12.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Purecrazidude 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Atakan 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Bacano 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Red Fog 30.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Textpectation 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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