December 17, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Peachy Queen | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bourma | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lady Jae | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Rachel | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | One Night Stand | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lady Tapatia | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | We Bless Luck | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Never My Love | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gasparilla Blast | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Words of Devine | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sammy’s Town | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Domineer | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Reggae Revolution | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clever Tale | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shoug | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Coro | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Drawntomunny | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sassy Cat | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Emperor’s Song | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Imhavinaverygooday | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | McAllens Music | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Merida | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Patty H | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Exact | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Snackster | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Air Cavalry | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frosted Mistress | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Izshefrosted | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kathern’s Joy | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ghostlyprince | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Champion Up | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Congrats Again | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Golovkin | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Andres Eduardo | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Raulito | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweeney’s Cat | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trinni Summer | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Papa’s Little Girl | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bimini | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dizzy | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Enough | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Captivant | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Betty | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carismatica | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Arham | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catch On Emotional | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Egyptologist | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mutakaamil | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Eclipse | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tonalism | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Unprecedented | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Coop Tries Harder | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Beat Brian | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Drink of Water | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pagliacci | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Allegedly Perfect | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kobe Fifty Two | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fixed Point | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tenacity Zip | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Prince of Arabia | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Morning Stride | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yamato | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Queens Empire (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Notsosubtle | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cowboy’s Hero | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Aramis | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Can’t Trump Kitten | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Son of Oahu | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Create Again | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lets Play Hardball | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rags for Britches | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Quasar Moon | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Saint Larned | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Superhighway | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tons of Gold | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Purecrazidude | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Atakan | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bacano | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Red Fog | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Textpectation | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.