Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 17, 2020

December 17, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 7 War Rules 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 4 War Rogue 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Degrasse 8.00 4 8-1
9 10 Prince Carlos 4.50 4.7 9-1
7 8 Southern Light 3.50 4.9 9-1
8 9 Midnight Spirit 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 1 C F Johnathan 6.00 5 10-1
4 3 Brother David 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Lions Hot Mess 12.00 6 11-1
3 2 Starvictory 20.00 7.8 15-1
10 11 Youcanbetonme 20.00 8.5 16-1
11 12 Purgerator 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 4 News Break 3.00 1.9 4-1
1A 9 Beachcombing 3.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 No Ka Oi 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Arion Magic (FR) 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Adeeb 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 2 Fiat Lux 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Dreaming of Carats 3.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Pharaoh’s Kitten 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Bayandbunny 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Skycraft 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Go for Moonshine 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Son of a Saint 3.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Woman With a Book 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Call the Colonel 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Grand Marais 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Rosslare Harbour 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Trapper Peak 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Kattegat 5.00 2 4-1
10 8 Mindy’s Way 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Time for Glory 5.00 2.8 5-1
8 6 Ms Satch Mo 6.00 3 6-1
3 2 Faded Memories 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 5 Flatteringapplause 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 4 Baby Maybe 15.00 6 11-1
11 9 Taylor’s Wish 20.00 6.1 12-1
9 7 Wave of Goodness 20.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Mon Cherie 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 J Z’s First 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lucky Artie 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Custom Cut 4.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Dreaming of Curlin 5.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Tuffology 4.50 4.5 8-1
10 10 Cajun Music 8.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Our Lil Rascal 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Stang It 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Madison’s Place 15.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Sandy’s Wager 20.00 8 15-1
9 9 Smoothoutthetrack 20.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Iona Guitar 20.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Red Hot Babe 5.00 1.8 3-1
6 5 Chewy Chewy Good 4.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Street Missy 4.50 2.7 5-1
10 9 Mariposa d’Oro 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Oooh Barracuda 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Caroline’s Story 8.00 4 7-1
8 7 Pink Posse 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 G Kate 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Shiningdownondalis 20.00 7.1 14-1
9 8 My Heart Dominus 20.00 8.2 15-1
3 3 Allieverneedisyou (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Goulding 3.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 O Seraphina 4.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Diamondcoat 4.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Quikfast N Ahurry 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Aimara 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Sweet Blindness 5.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Tiz Susan Ann 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Briefcase Bully 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Attorney Tim 4.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Half Ours to Keep 8.00 5.3 10-1
13 13 Toma Todo 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Extraordinary 8.00 6.1 11-1
10 10 Lethal Move 8.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Alfons Walde (IRE) 12.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Parade Field 12.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Warrior’s Map 15.00 7.4 14-1
14 14 Botswana Taps 12.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Lemon Kick 15.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Benelux 15.00 9.2 17-1
15 15 Cool Bobby 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Big Money Machine 20.00 10.2 19-1
8 8 Drewpower 20.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 12 Lil Adeau 4.00 2.1 4-1
11 10 G’s a Looker 4.50 2.7 5-1
12 11 Mollys Flyin High 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Bodie On Pointe 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Our Starlet 6.00 4.6 9-1
10 9 Looking Hot 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Ibegtodiffer 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 5 Slewalyze 12.00 5.6 11-1
9 8 Ma Cher Amio 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Audacious Girl 12.00 6.5 12-1
8 7 Flat Out Crypto 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 6 My Rebel Girl 20.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Gone Midnight 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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