Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 17, 2020

December 17, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Wayfaring Stranger 20.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Saponi 12.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Victory Trip 15.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Huffs Taz a Boo 20.00 4 8-1
2 2 Toni’s Star 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Aw Ite 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Half Ours N Stormy 4.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Fuelinjectedprayer 12.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Hot Apriority 15.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 K D Street 1.80 9.1 17-1
11 11 King Cookie 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mr. Graceful 15.00 2 4-1
2 2 Flashing Angelbaby 15.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Three Run Homer 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Lucky Inferno 8.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Greeley’s Dealer 3.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Much Class 1.40 3.3 6-1
3 3 Alex’s Turn 4.50 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Slow 6.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Counterfeit 2.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Whoosah 4.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Custom Pancho 5.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Beaux Victory 4.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Brithasgoldencents 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Shady Grady 10.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 D’festive Cat 8.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Rocking Shoes 15.00 1.1 2-1
6 4 Poopsie Doopsie 4.50 1.8 3-1
8 6 C C’s Baby Girl 3.00 2.9 5-1
4 3 Daylight Deelite 20.00 2.9 5-1
7 5 D’wild Muffin 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 1 Gladys’ Frontier 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Harlons Commision 2.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Honest Tina 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Callthewolfe 20.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Pipes and Drums 5.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Chief Cheetah 15.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 One Time Gem 4.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Drewhustle 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Race Craft 0.80 6 11-1
1 1 Shoulda Had It 8.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kiss of the Wolf 12.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Go Get That 6.00 9.1 17-1
4 4 Grand Omega 20.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 End Zone 1.80 9.2 17-1
10 10 Palmy Sundae 4.50 9.3 18-1
1 1 G Cisive 20.00 9.3 18-1
5 5 Our Prince 10.00 9.6 18-1
9 9 Distinct Quality 20.00 9.6 18-1
8 8 Flat Out Love 8.00 9.9 19-1
11 11 Mine Inspector 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Kurts Raider 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Smarty Grimes 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mizz Tutu 15.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Mimi’s Song 12.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Erebuni 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Tizzy’s Song 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Just a Bandit 20.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Andthebandplayedon 4.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Gemodixie 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Ten Count Out 1.60 7.2 14-1
2 2 New Orleans Spice 10.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Lady Belacqua 6.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Nana’s Joy 6.00 2.1 4-1
10 8 A J’s Grand 3.50 5.4 10-1
3 2 Honest N Lucky 20.00 6.1 12-1
2 1 Temple Shadow 12.00 7.1 13-1
7 5 Fianna Hills 4.00 7.3 14-1
9 7 Kris T. 2.50 7.7 15-1
5 3 Rock the Jukebox 15.00 7.9 15-1
6 4 Mostly Awesome 10.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Boss Lady Melissa 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Baylor 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Reason Why 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Maiden Rock 8.00 1.2 2-1
9 7 Mystery Star 5.00 1.3 3-1
8 6 Shortylee 20.00 1.7 3-1
5 3 Sarahs Home 20.00 1.8 3-1
6 4 Circleofsoul 12.00 2 4-1
3 2 Us Second Cute Pie 15.00 2.2 4-1
11 9 Alberta Moon 8.00 9.6 18-1
10 8 Time for a Song 4.00 9.6 18-1
2 2 Julio Choice 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Faith and Fire 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Missheartbreaker 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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