December 17, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wayfaring Stranger | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saponi | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Victory Trip | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Huffs Taz a Boo | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toni’s Star | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aw Ite | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Half Ours N Stormy | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fuelinjectedprayer | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hot Apriority | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | K D Street | 1.80 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | King Cookie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Graceful | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flashing Angelbaby | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Three Run Homer | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Inferno | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Greeley’s Dealer | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Much Class | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alex’s Turn | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Slow | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Counterfeit | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whoosah | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Custom Pancho | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beaux Victory | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brithasgoldencents | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shady Grady | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | D’festive Cat | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Rocking Shoes | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Poopsie Doopsie | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | C C’s Baby Girl | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Daylight Deelite | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | D’wild Muffin | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Gladys’ Frontier | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harlons Commision | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Honest Tina | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Callthewolfe | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pipes and Drums | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chief Cheetah | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Time Gem | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drewhustle | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Race Craft | 0.80 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shoulda Had It | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kiss of the Wolf | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Go Get That | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Omega | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | End Zone | 1.80 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Palmy Sundae | 4.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | G Cisive | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Prince | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Distinct Quality | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flat Out Love | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mine Inspector | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kurts Raider | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Smarty Grimes | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mizz Tutu | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mimi’s Song | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Erebuni | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tizzy’s Song | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just a Bandit | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Andthebandplayedon | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gemodixie | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ten Count Out | 1.60 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New Orleans Spice | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Belacqua | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Nana’s Joy | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | A J’s Grand | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Honest N Lucky | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Temple Shadow | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Fianna Hills | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Kris T. | 2.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Rock the Jukebox | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Mostly Awesome | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boss Lady Melissa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Baylor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Reason Why | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maiden Rock | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mystery Star | 5.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Shortylee | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sarahs Home | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Circleofsoul | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Us Second Cute Pie | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Alberta Moon | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Time for a Song | 4.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Julio Choice | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Faith and Fire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Missheartbreaker | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.