December 17, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Teetotaler | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
7 | 7 | Home for Christmas | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
9 | 9 | Chasing Cara | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Exfiltration | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Quiet Type | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Stormi Cat Lady | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | Pink Gin | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Gallina | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Flirtacious Kiss | 50.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Fire Sword | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Sam and Sy | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Civil War | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Stylish Rags | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | De Only Solution | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Prospect Mountain | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
8 | 8 | Ghost Stalker | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
2 | 2 | Let’s Workout | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Funny Bones Flag | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
8 | 8 | Ghostghostghost | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Dancing Kiki | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
9 | 9 | Bonus Baby | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Undetectable | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Tiny Magoo | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Afleeting Glance | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Rip by You | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
4 | 4 | Mill Stone Creek | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1A | 1 | Classy Papa | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
3B | 3 | Blood Moon | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
12A | 12 | Magnetron | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
13 | 13 | Mandatory Payout | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | Titan’s Will | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
7B | 7 | Ventus | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Vitesse | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
9 | 9 | Mr. Shortandsimple | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
11 | 11 | Mine the Coin | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Latin Love Bug | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Scoreswhenhewants | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
2 | 2 | Alongcametheprince | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
10 | 10 | True Blue Giant | 50.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8A | 8 | Limonite | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
2 | 2 | Someday Jones | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
1A | 1 | Backsideofthemoon | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Per Capita | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Roaming Union | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Kumar | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Zoomer | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
5 | 5 | Malthael | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Dial One | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Earned Success | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
9 | 9 | Hooray for Harvey | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
10 | 10 | Justin Front | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
11 | 11 | Ethan Hunt | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Tale of Mist | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Desert Lights | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | Dark Roast | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
2 | 2 | Summer Bourbon | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
4 | 4 | Coltandmississippi | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
3 | 3 | Kampai | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 11 | Luna’s in Charge | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Raven Rocks | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Notorious Flirt | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
9 | 9 | Jemography | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Farragut | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Bulwark | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Leap to Glory | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Bustin Timberlake | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
10 | 10 | Possetizzly | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | Roll With My Posse | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
5 | 5 | A Maize Zing Rip | 50.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Rift Valley | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
3 | 3 | King Angelo | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Neuro | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Micro Me | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Not Phar Now | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
13 | 13 | Jade’s Dream | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
11 | 11 | Ernie Banker | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Black Irish | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
8 | 8 | American Piper | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
9 | 9 | Me ‘n Sap | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
7 | 7 | Whichwaytomalibu | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
12 | 12 | Wicked Karma | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
10 | 10 | Being Me | 50.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.