Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, December 16, 2020

December 16, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Facts Only 2.00 2.9 5-1
11 11 Mellow Gold 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Fifth Illusion 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Nicole Princess 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Sierra Diamond 4.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Luci Breeze 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 V K Princess 15.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Queen Ashy Baby 20.00 7 13-1
10 10 Kerik 30.00 9.5 18-1
5 5 Baby Ana 30.00 9.6 18-1
12 12 Gaga Oh La La 30.00 9.8 18-1
4 4 Cottons Last 30.00 9.9 19-1
13 13 Pitufina 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Piper 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hangar One 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 The Method 4.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Kicks On Sixty Six 2.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Savatiano 3.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Uncle Pip 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Cuate 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 El Sicario 15.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Trade Deadline 2.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Pool Shark 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Exult 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Seven Channels 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Phantom Dance 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Colliery 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Mr Matuschek 12.00 6 11-1
5 5 Unpopular Opinion 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Beeboo 2.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 American Fleet 3.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Fuego Caliente 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Taita 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Little Demon 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Big Cypress 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Divert 12.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 R Mercedes Boy 1.40 2.7 5-1
5 5 Gran Casique 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Feast 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Arrivederla 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Soldollie 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Pro Quality 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 First Homestead 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Our West Indy 6.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 She’s Just Quality 2.50 2.9 5-1
11 11 Gingeronmymind 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Matcha 3.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Hoity Toity 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Keypit 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Trinni Girls 30.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Miss Wrote 20.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Fina 30.00 8.2 16-1
5 5 Signing Bonus 30.00 9 17-1
2 2 New York Commander 30.00 9.3 18-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Go Mike 2.00 1.6 3-1
7 6 Long Beach Kid 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Our Hoisted Mast 2.50 3.5 7-1
8 7 Dang It 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Viking Queen 12.00 4 8-1
1 1 Gods Blessing 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Fitz’s Mo 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Catching Fish 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Yellowstone Girl 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 To a T 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Bold Article 4.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Shiny Empire 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Sunny Isle Beach 3.50 3.5 7-1
8 7 Terry’s Dream 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Fearless Ideas 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Coffee Buzz Buzz 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Social Paranoia 2.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Olympic Runner 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Hay Dakota 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Renaisance Frolic 6.00 4.1 8-1
10 8 Louder Than Bombs 12.00 6.1 11-1
9 7 Fig Jelly 10.00 6.3 12-1
11 9 Thunder Ride 15.00 7 13-1
7 6 Epic Dreamer 20.00 7.9 15-1
3 2 Perfect Speighty 20.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Another Miracle 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Soldado 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lower for Longer (IRE) 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Driving Wind 5.00 2.3 4-1
10 9 Brynbella 4.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Flutiste 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 6 Wecallherqueenmary 12.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Mothers Day Jewel 12.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Big Bad Diva 15.00 5.2 10-1
12 11 Mission Possible 15.00 5.3 10-1
11 10 Secrets Kept 12.00 6 11-1
9 8 Speightster’s Gold 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Por Que No 20.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Short Circuit 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 We Bless Luck 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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