Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, December 15, 2020

December 15, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Factoring 2.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Karen’s Gem 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Aussie Mist 6.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Imperial Lady 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 She’smyrisenstar 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Sally O’Prado 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Knock Out Kid 12.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Cold Hearted Pearl 1.60 2.6 5-1
3 3 Misdriven 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Yes Mz Adah 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Jumpin Jett 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Gobi 6.00 4 8-1
6 5 Princess Mikayah 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Theodosia 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 4 Wildly Good Lookin 1.80 2.3 4-1
5 3 Barley Jack 2.50 2.4 4-1
3 1 Miss Star Lo 8.00 3.9 7-1
1A 6 Rumor Ridge 4.00 4.7 9-1
4 2 Morissette 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Abaco Dream 12.00 5 9-1
6 5 Enigmatica 15.00 6 11-1
1 3 Rochela 4.00 SCRATCH
2X 8 Stabilize 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 G Daddy 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Indirectly 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Always Free 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Cause I Said So 1.20 3.5 7-1
5 5 Jump Shot 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 James Ciro 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Bridlecrest 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 Just Enough 20.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Rodeo Red 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Team Win 1.80 1.9 4-1
6 6 Paolla’s Heart 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 With Me Without Me 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Valerie First 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Don’ttouchmystuff 4.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Valiant Spirit 15.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Georgia Bonnet 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bucks Some 4.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Prospective Belle 3.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Caramel Cream 2.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Special Risk 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 What About Tonight 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Victoria E 20.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Lolanita 15.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Two Carat 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Florencia 3.00 2.7 5-1
10 8 Mija Bella 9.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Bangle Gal 4.50 4 8-1
8 7 Party in the Sand 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Hay Buck 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Tiz a Date 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Oceano Rosso 15.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Shanghaisweetheart 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 West Horizen 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Madam Meena 2.50 3 6-1
3 2 I’m the Talent 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 3 Promised Storm 5.00 3.5 7-1
8 5 Isabella Smile 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Sweet Turn 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Dixie Serenade 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Dreamer’s Moon 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Capital Q 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 6 Zertz 2.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Smokum Peace Pipe 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 1 Palatial Times 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Alpha Chi Rho 6.00 3 6-1
1 2 Garban 2.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Run Casper Run 3.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Foxborough 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Claw 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lake Chicot 3.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 She’s Primo 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 I’ll Take the Cake 3.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 Sweet Maggie Mae 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Freedom Passage 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Sexyama 8.00 5.2 10-1
11 10 Dreaming Diamonds 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Atina Salsa 12.00 6.8 13-1
10 9 Like a Pro 15.00 7 13-1
3 3 Zensational Dixie 15.00 7.4 14-1
12 11 Blue Shine 20.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Baby Bam Bam 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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