Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Monday, December 14, 2020

December 14, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bregman 4.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Lang’s Fir Doll 20.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Picture Paynter 15.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Bassett 15.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Speedy Luis 20.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Underdog 12.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Wicked Fitz 3.50 7.7 15-1
2 2 Mail Man Johnny 8.00 8.2 15-1
5 5 Snowblind 1.60 8.7 16-1
7 7 Joe Diver 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lucky Streaker 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Jr’s Sauvage 20.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Nomorequestions 12.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Majestic Society 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Son of Patriot 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Grand Tribute 20.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Ch Bern 3.50 6 11-1
4 4 Last Nite Out 2.50 8.5 16-1
3 3 Whatafind 6.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Royal Galaxy 5.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Laughing Latinos 5.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Hail State 12.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Goodrockinalvin 8.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Carlos Punch 3.50 6.3 12-1
4 4 Daddy Cool Cat 6.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Last Appeal 1.80 6.7 13-1
1 1 Meet Kevin 8.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Shack Partout 10.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Unmentionable 20.00 1.8 3-1
10 9 Ideal Mallory 15.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Zugersee 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Dixie Loving 15.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Cajun Shots 15.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Aim Spot 5.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Majestic Edge 2.50 5.7 11-1
7 6 Able Catch 6.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Silent Trick 5.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Ladie Verrazano 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Selfish Woman 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 G G Has a Shot 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Chief Envoy 10.00 1.4 3-1
8 5 Hollywood Square 15.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Successful Ryker 12.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Big Guy Ian 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 4 Just Blaze 4.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 P C Suspect 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Allthewaywithtaye 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Shangroyal 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 4 Galaxy Builder 10.00 1.9 4-1
4 5 Donna’s Court 12.00 2 4-1
7 7 Drewzano 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 3 Giant Mesa 10.00 2.7 5-1
2 1 Prizeless 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 Malusita Tower 30.00 4.4 8-1
5 6 Rock N Sake 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Stormation 20.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Young Phillip 4.50 7 13-1
6 6 Tough Charlie 1.80 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Santa Ana Winds 6.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Seaside Surprise 20.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Hoyam 2.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Jet Sweep 15.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Panterita 3.50 3 6-1
8 8 Laurieann 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Hurricane Tizway 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 Bella Falaya 12.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Could You 4.50 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 The Complete Court 15.00 1.7 3-1
9 8 Spider Legs 4.50 6.9 13-1
3 3 She Wants Half 15.00 7.1 13-1
7 6 Oretta 6.00 7.2 14-1
5 4 Racin Prayer 15.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Sienna Breeze 3.00 7.5 14-1
6 5 Dixie Lady 2.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Condesa’s Handmaid 20.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Quiet Barbara 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Munozfarmstwo 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Hip Four O Four 4.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Lightning Lee 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Gottatakehimto 20.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Flashlightsecurity 15.00 6.1 12-1
10 9 Bald Face Logic 20.00 7 13-1
2 2 Lone Star Class 15.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Midnight Revolt 2.00 8.1 15-1
9 8 Reinsure 5.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Pretty Guilty 12.00 9.9 19-1
11 11 Wildfire Storm 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mayan Ghost 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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