December 14, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bregman | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lang’s Fir Doll | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Picture Paynter | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bassett | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speedy Luis | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Underdog | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wicked Fitz | 3.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mail Man Johnny | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snowblind | 1.60 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joe Diver | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Streaker | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jr’s Sauvage | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nomorequestions | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Society | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Son of Patriot | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Tribute | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ch Bern | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Last Nite Out | 2.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whatafind | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Galaxy | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Laughing Latinos | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hail State | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Goodrockinalvin | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carlos Punch | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daddy Cool Cat | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Last Appeal | 1.80 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Meet Kevin | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shack Partout | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Unmentionable | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ideal Mallory | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zugersee | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dixie Loving | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cajun Shots | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Aim Spot | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Edge | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Able Catch | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Silent Trick | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ladie Verrazano | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Selfish Woman | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | G G Has a Shot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chief Envoy | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Hollywood Square | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Successful Ryker | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Guy Ian | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Just Blaze | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | P C Suspect | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Allthewaywithtaye | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Shangroyal | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 4 | Galaxy Builder | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Donna’s Court | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Drewzano | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Giant Mesa | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Prizeless | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Malusita Tower | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Rock N Sake | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Stormation | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Young Phillip | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tough Charlie | 1.80 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Santa Ana Winds | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seaside Surprise | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hoyam | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jet Sweep | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Panterita | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Laurieann | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hurricane Tizway | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Falaya | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Could You | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | The Complete Court | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Spider Legs | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She Wants Half | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Oretta | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Racin Prayer | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sienna Breeze | 3.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dixie Lady | 2.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Condesa’s Handmaid | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quiet Barbara | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Munozfarmstwo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hip Four O Four | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lightning Lee | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gottatakehimto | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flashlightsecurity | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bald Face Logic | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lone Star Class | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Revolt | 2.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Reinsure | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Guilty | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wildfire Storm | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mayan Ghost | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.