Sports from the Basement

Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 13, 2020

December 13, 2020 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hallowed Gift 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Ed Gatty 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Should Be Illegal 1.60 3 6-1
7 7 Moonshine Moment 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Unmasked 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Belham 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Barhopsky 10.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Lord Vader 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 The Third Ring 30.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Squalotoro 4.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 King Parker 3.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Leprino 5.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Rossman 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Kincaid Park 6.00 5 9-1
9 9 Baby Gronk 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Etterbay Ucklay 5.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Nietzsche 12.00 7 13-1
4 4 Surfside Sunset 15.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Doheny Beach 20.00 9.2 17-1
11 11 Musket Powder 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Coil to Strike 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 6 As Time Goes By 1.40 2.1 4-1
10 7 My Happy Girl 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Fierce for Sul 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Eyes Open 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Bay Witch 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Wild Ride 20.00 6 11-1
8 5 Miss Mo’ Licious 30.00 7.7 14-1
4 4 Irish Aura 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Sweet and Softly 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Marie 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cal’s Gem 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Union Leader 4.00 3 6-1
7 7 Final Final 3.50 3.3 6-1
9 9 Outright 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Kaline 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Super Classic 10.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Autism Impact 10.00 5 9-1
3 3 Derby Factor 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Suances Secret 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Moraz 3.00 1.8 3-1
7 6 Moonlight d’Oro 2.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 Frosteria 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Mischief Free 6.00 4 8-1
6 5 Made in Karoo 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 7 Full of Laughs 20.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Scarrazano 20.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Ghostly Gal 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Chevelita 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Minoso 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Uncaptured Hero 2.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Luck’s Royal Flush 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Electoral 5.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Next Flight 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Torpedo Away 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Continental Union 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Chico Baby 15.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Shootin Money 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shortlist 2.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Outlaw 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 Lionite 3.50 4 8-1
4 4 Synthesis 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Truth Seeker 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Wilshire Dude 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Mo Bob (IRE) 15.00 7 13-1
7 7 Bronze Warrior 15.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Respect the Hustle 15.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Habobanero 3.50 3.2 6-1
10 10 Cheap Cheap Cheap 2.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Trina 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Hot On the Trail 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Loud Loud Music 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Ana Lisa 5.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Wandering Patrol 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Marilyn’s Smile 10.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Plum Wild 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Streusel 30.00 9 17-1
8 8 Li’l Grazen 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Omg It’s Jessica 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Strawberryontop 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Okoye 4.00 5 10-1
8 8 Another Eddie 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Tess’s Wild Cat 6.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Becca Taylor 8.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Ms Michelle 10.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Misty Cat 12.00 8.6 16-1
10 10 Shout It Out 12.00 8.7 17-1
2 2 Shanghai Sunrise 15.00 9.5 18-1
11 11 Ten the Smart Way 0.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Sircat Nelly 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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